BTC Daily Email Q and A Thread
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@salvatore-antonio-valenza when trading I advise being adaptable with your exit points. Is the game flow consistently going your way? Stay in! Is the gameflow consistently going against your trade? Get out. What I mean by gameflow is the inplay stats and what you are viewing infront of you. It is fine to have hard exit points if you like but you make end up taking a red when actually the game is about to turn it into a green. Another alternative is just to get out when you are happy with the profit or have hit a stoploss that is big enough for you, practice it and see what works. Note down what does work and keep repeating that process and see if you can start to have consistently good results.
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@martin-futter hi martin, can I ask you a question about the strategy un 2.5? I do not understand when I have to leave the market. Do I go out as soon as I have a profit or wait for the end of the game? thank you
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@peter-haynes thanks, we will know more when we have like 1000 results on these but at the current rate of qualifiers that could take 2 and a half years. so have posted these as people have asked for them and said that the sample size is still small so be careful.
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Thanks Martin, appreciate your help
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@peter-haynes limiting the markets will as you are betting 3 times on the same thing effectively, so during a bad run your loss would be 66% less if you chose one market to follow (assuming the bad run effected the markets equally which it would tend to do as they are all effectively unders bets). watching the matches and trading is another option, you can take a loss if early goal or wait until a set time to trade out, quite a lot of early goal games are still able to be traded for a good profit later in the game. Good example of this is Real Under 1.5 yesterday 6.0 at KO went odds on during the game. As with any system there is no guarantee of future results so if you want to play it safe I would suggest leaving them alone until you are fully confident or trading them live.
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Hi Martin,
Thanks for the quick reply. Not sure limiting the bets or trading will help as many of the games have had early goals or multiple goals. Also the system (i'm assuming) is based on letting them run anyway. I'm sure i'm not overstaking as i have allowed room for 250 consecutive losses which should be fine for any swings, shouldn't it? just didnt want to keep plugging on for a few more weeks and watch it get worse. Cheers -
@peter-haynes Hi Peter, I suggest sticking to one of the bets or trades rather than betting all of the markets, otherwise you are betting 3x bet amount on one game which will lead to overstaking. It also sounds like you are putting too much money on per bet, although this is 3 months of testing the sample size is small. Factor in the fact that all systems will have lots of variance and ups and downs, then staking should be relatively small.
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Hi Guys,
I've been away from trading for a little while but though i would come back to follow the email systems as they sound very promising. I started last Saturday and have lost so much money so far, its untrue. I have stuck to the odds spec and done over/under1.5 and 2.5 and btts no, but I think i've only had a few wins from dozens of bets and lost almost a 1/4 of my starting bank. I've had to reduce my bet size twice. Am i doing something wrong or is everyone getting this?
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@david-reid I do yes but the value on those is not as good and the unders is my main focus with these. it doesn't really make a lot of sense to tip the same game for unders and overs so to a lot of people they would not understand why that was possible due to odds. the email goes out to 500+ members many of whom would never even read my explanation, so it just made better sense to cut them from the daily email. as i said the filter is still in the members filters on the stats software so you can see the selection 3 days in advance
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@martin-futter thanks. Are you still staking on the overs yourself?
I thought you made it quite clear that if same game qualified due to the odds only one of the strats could be in play!
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@david-reid hi bud if you check the filter you can see it has an extra filter that is the only difference. the over 1.5 strat is still in the members filter section but i don't email it out anymore, mainly because it was causing too much confusion as it would create the same picks as the unders one as it was originally developed to test low scoring games.
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@Martin-Futter Are you still doing the over 1.5 goals strat?
Plus what's the difference between under and unders+ on the filter please?
Thanks
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Anyone going for the parma game .. odds are 2 at kick off
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@martin-futter when is the best time to place the bets as when I checked the BOA game last night just before kick off the odds didn't meet the criteria so I didn't place the bet and sods law it came in.
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@john-folan yep there will be lots of variance I imagine but hopefully the good gains over the long term continue!
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@martin-futter said in BTC Daily Email Q and A Thread:
@john-folan https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UQYxOh-mUHfAm9OByLhzX0ooiQQUqYshfnDJLWRYHUY/edit?usp=sharing
Thanks @Martin-Futter. Bit all over the show with one thing and another at the moment. Looks really good. A nice addition to the portfolio
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I think I missed something somewhere. Loving these and have been doing since you started emailing them. Did you say you had backtested them a bit?