Political Trading Thread

Ryan

@john-folan Boris is great for the one tick, been brilliant for a little while now.

Shame it has to end soon lol

John Folan

Bit of movement on my Corbyn to go trade. Also covered up to December for an election.

Hopefully get a bit of movement based on whatever chaos happens this week.

Boris is really doing well on the one tick recycles. Closing off those trades after the next time of being matched though.

Ryan

@dave-jessop This is true! they do provide us with a lot dont they

Ryan

@john-folan I can see this happening!!

John Folan

Labour are fucked!!

Sneaky back of Corbyn to step down. Covered till end of year.

Ryan

@john-folan What an image that is....

John Folan

Hardly moved. One tick recycle it is then. Looks like Boris will need to be caught shagging Diane Abbot to make his price drift. No one wants Corbyns sloppy seconds. I’ll leave you all with that image as you go to sleep

John Folan

This has been superb. Caught out a couple of times when his price dipped slightly but it’s been stable enough to redo and make back quickly. Will continue to one tick recycle. Might have a sneaky lay just before their next debate. Will see.

Ryan

@john-folan Its only going to continue as well! Pretty much the price recycle and him slapping.

John Folan

Boris is a monster for the one tick recycle strategy. ALWAYS get your lay matched first as there is always the chance he will give his missus another slap and his price will drift.

John Folan

So it appears people aren’t spooked by Boris giving his missus a slap to keep her in line. Although from what I’ve read it sounds like his new one is a bit of a nut job.

His price has dropped back down a tick or two.

John Folan

@simon smashing up the missus will do that lol.

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Bit of a drift on Boris after he’s plastered all over the front pages!

John Folan

The Hunt back paid off. I’m out of everything now. Will look at Boris’s price once it bottoms out and do some one tick scalping

John Folan

@dave-jessop said in Political Trading Thread:

@john-folan said in Political Trading Thread:

Trump and Brexit got me into political trading. I made a fortune backing both Trump and Leave on gut feelings on the day of the polls. Can’t go wrong laying the pollsters.

May have said it here before but going against what the media want seems to be a winner these days

Can't disagree with that. This is what happens with a biased media(whichever way). They say what THEY want to happen, not what is happening and will happen. I still remember the colour draining from their faces as the numbers came in for trump and brexit while my cash out on betfair went through the roof lol. The trouble with the media is they only speak to a certain type of person and if they speak to what I call 'normal' people they dont like what they hear and ignore them. Long may it continue so I can make money out of it. Rory Stewart's price and the commentary the last few days is a perfect example. He finished third from bottom yesterday and the press was going on like he had won the thing.

John Folan

@will-b said in Political Trading Thread:

@John-Folan thanks for sharing, good shout re: Hunt. I dropped a b@llock and ended up leaving some liability on Boris ahead of the first vote, didn't expect his odds to drop so dramatically as it seemed a foregone conclusion that he'd get the most votes. Currently left with a small liability on this market which I'm gonna leave rather than risk making it worse but all good learning experience and looking forward the the fun and games of the US presidential election!

I got caught out a couple of times on Boris’s price as I expected it to drift as the market took value. It cost me some green but you can’t get it right all the time.

I can’t wait for that one. Markets seem to be moving by who shouts the loudest on Twitter. It’s like with Stewart. Anyone who voted remain would rather he win and the market moved with that rather with the nuts and bolts truth that even if he somehow got through to the final two he would not win amongst the members. The market has now adjusted to that I think.

Trump and Brexit got me into political trading. I made a fortune backing both Trump and Leave on gut feelings on the day of the polls. Can’t go wrong laying the pollsters.

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@John-Folan thanks for sharing, good shout re: Hunt. I dropped a b@llock and ended up leaving some liability on Boris ahead of the first vote, didn't expect his odds to drop so dramatically as it seemed a foregone conclusion that he'd get the most votes. Currently left with a small liability on this market which I'm gonna leave rather than risk making it worse but all good learning experience and looking forward the the fun and games of the US presidential election!

John Folan

I think I will have a small back of Hunt on the basis some of Boris’s supporters are backing Hunt to make sure it’s him that Boris goes up against when it goes to the members.

I can’t see any value anywhere else. I did look at a small lay of Boris but anything there has just resulted in break even lately.

I expect Javed or Stewart to be eliminated today.

John Folan

13 out to 25 and Boris has shortened even more

John Folan

Now he’s on the drift so debates going well lol