How i tackle filters - Right/Wrong - Whats your opinion?
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First, I set all parameters to zero.
Then, during a hectic weekend, I collect at least 100 selections.
After that, I sort the highest values to the top for each column and parameter. This gives me several columns with the highest values at the top and the lowest at the bottom.
Next, I locate the middle of the total number of selections — for example, if I have 100 selections, I pinpoint number 50.
What happens? I get each parameter’s selection data and stats — the sweet spot.
This also represents the medium value we expect, which aligns with the market’s long-term expectations.Finally, for parameters that should be lower to benefit the situation, I set them to be equal to or lower than that value.
For parameters that should be higher to benefit the situation, I set them to be equal to or higher than that value.Now I have a real benchmark and blueprint — not just for finding value in odds, but in much more.
All selections that pass the filter must outperform the sweet spot, which creates both value and upside for me."I've noticed that setting a 5-tick improvement for all parameters still provides ongoing selections according to the BTC software. I'm inclined to believe that anything with 3 ticks or better is value, provided that the strike rate of winning and losing streaks eventually overcomes the price structure."
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Illustration - if you feel i am wrong i will embrace the critics - we all learn something
FILTER OPTIMIZED LTD
Below 25 % - Ov HT 0-0
Above 55 % - Home Scored First
FREE % - Betfair draw odds
Below 2,25 - Betfair home odds
Above 9 % Ov goals 11-20 min
Above 9,5% - Ov goals 21-30 min
Above 17% Ov goals 31-45 min
Above 8 – Home match played
Above 8 way match playedMarginal shall be 3 to 5 ticks
EDGE SORTING
Not a qualifier but illustration.20% - Ov HT 0-0
90% - Home Scored First
3,7 - Betfair draw odds
2,14 - Betfair home odds
9% - Ov goals 11-20 min
13% - Ov goals 21-30 min
20% - Ov goals 31-45 min
10 – Home match played
10 – Away match playedGoals from 11 to 45 min 42%
Todays selection.Original LTD
10% - Ov HT 0-0
80% - Home Scored First
4.6 - Betfair draw odds
1,66 - Betfair home odds- Ov goals 11-20 min
- Ov goals 21-30 min
- Ov goals 31-45 min
10 – Home match played
10 – Away match played
Goals from 11 to 45 min 24%
Todays selection. -
I completely understand, but I am not in the habit of showing what follows from what. However, I have redone, optimized, and streamlined all the filters provided by BTC.Such as LTD and Split-Stake.Ryan, Martin, and Adam surely have their benchmarks, and I have mine
Furthermore, if what I wrote above were commonplace, we wouldn't have half-baked tips.Have a nice weekend
"Think of it like this, if you imagine a sweet spot, it is the median value – in other words, the fairest benchmark between the right and left side of a pendulum.If the right side is 3 or more goals and the left side is 3 goals or fewer – then there is no odds that show a fairer picture of a 50/50 relationship.Then the market is saying that 50% will be 3 or more goals and that 3 or fewer will be 50%.If the average odds then is 2.44 and you average odds around 2.61 or higher – well, then you have value odds and you win more than you lose, mathematically speaking.But what happens if all the selection principles you filter by have value odds???Well, fewer qualified matches because you only place those bets that are the most odds-optimized and streamlined by the selection process!!! In other contexts, this is called EDGE SORTING honestly, I am surprised that neither Ryan, Martin, nor Adam have mentioned anything about this – maybe it has been mentioned, but nothing we have come across or read.
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@Patrik-Mellqvist I guess the proof is in the long-term results? Have you been tracking them? It seems like a very basic approach, but often the most simple of setups are the most fruitful!
