100 DAYS OF VALUE: AN ASPIRING FOOTBALL TRADER'S JOURNEY

Alex Rendell

I've been trading/betting on football for the last few years at a novice level, with limited success - mostly treading water with small wins and small losses. This "challenge" is as much about accountability and self-discipline as it is about improving results. Too many traders hop between systems, endlessly tweak strategies, and struggle to stick to one thing (myself included!!). I want to break that cycle.

I work full-time, I have a wife and two children under 12, and life can be busy. That means while I'll be as committed as possible to this challenge, it won't always be 100% possible. But I'll show up, stay consistent, and see where this journey takes me. My long-term goal isn't to quit my job, but to eventually supplement my income through football trading - enough to reduce the need for overtime and to create more financial flexibility. I want to be earning £1,000 to £2,000 per month on average from football trading within 5 years.

For the next 100 days, I'll be sharing my journey using two structured, data-driven systems. Since September 2023, my In-Play Half-Time System has tracked over 1,600 matches across 25+ leagues, focusing on second-half goal markets when a game is 0-0 at half-time. My Pre-Match System has tracked over 3,000 matches from 50+ leagues, identifying value in goal markets (over/under 2.5, 3.5 etc.) and full-time results, along with many other major markets.

Each morning (where possible), I'll post potential selections based on the data, with final picks shared 10-15 minutes before kick-off. Weekends will be quieter due to time constraints, but I'll aim for consistency during the week.

This is a test of discipline, patience, and trust in the numbers. Feel free to follow along, ask questions, and let's see where 100 days (or more?!) takes us.

Alex Rendell

POTENTIAL QUALIFIERS — THURSDAY 9 APRIL 2026

No qualifying trades today.

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap - Wednesday 8 April 2026

Germany 3. Liga
Ingolstadt v Viktoria Koln
FH Over 1.5 - won
Draw - lost | 3.90

Germany 3. Liga
Saarbrucken v Alemannia Aachen
Draw - won | 3.80
FH Over 1.5 - lost

Shannon Townsend

@Alex-Rendell

this one

Alex Rendell
wrote 9 days ago
last edited by Alex Rendell 9 days ago
#13
Daily Recap — Sunday 29 March 2026

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap - Tuesday 7 April 2026

Germany 3. Liga
Regensburg v Aue
FH Over 1.5 - lost
Draw - lost | 4.10

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap - Monday 6 April 2026

Poland 1. Liga
S. Rzeszow v Odra Opole
Away Win - won | 3.05
FH Over 1.5 - lost

Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Helmond v Waalwijk
Draw - won | 4.30
SH Over 0.5 - lost

Poland Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin
FH Over 0.5 - won
BTTS Yes - won | 1.58

England Championship
Ipswich v Birmingham
FH Over 1.5 - won

England League One
Mansfield v Burton
SH Over 1.5 - lost
Away Win - lost | 3.25

England National League
FC Halifax v Tamworth
FH Over 1.5 - lost

Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Cambuur v Dordrecht
Draw - won | 4.30
SH Over 0.5 - won

Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Oss v Jong Utrecht
SH Over 0.5 - won

Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Roda v Willem II
Home Win - lost | 2.22
SH Over 0.5 - lost

Poland Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin v Legia
FH Over 0.5 - won
BTTS Yes - lost | 1.59
Over 2.5 Goals - lost | 1.82
Over 3.5 Goals - lost | 3.10

Italy Serie A
Juventus v Genoa
FH Over 1.5 - won
Over 2.5 Goals - lost | 1.76
Over 3.5 Goals - lost | 2.96
SH Over 1.5 - lost
SH Over 0.5 - lost

Poland 1. Liga
Grodzisk M. v Stal Mielec
Away Win - won | 3.00

Spain Segunda División
Gijon v Real Sociedad B
BTTS Yes - lost | 1.73
FH Over 0.5 - won
FH Over 1.5 - lost
Home Win - won | 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals - lost | 1.73
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap - Sunday 5 April 2026

Germany 2. Bundesliga
Schalke v Karlsruher SC
FH Over 0.5 - lost
Home Win - won | 1.51

Belgium Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege v OC Charleroi
FH Over 1.5 - won
Over 3.5 Goals - lost | 2.88
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Germany Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Koln
Draw - won | 3.90
SH Over 0.5 - won
FH Over 1.5 - lost
Over 3.5 Goals - won | 2.72

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap - Saturday 4 April 2026

Germany 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld v Darmstadt
FH Over 0.5 - won

Germany 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock v Viktoria Koln
Draw - lost | 4.20

Germany 3. Liga
Munich 1860 v Mannheim
Draw - won | 3.90

Spain La Liga
Real Sociedad v Levante
BTTS Yes - lost | 1.64
Draw - lost | 4.40
FH Over 1.5 - lost

Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SV v Augsburg
Away Win - lost | 3.15

Germany Bundesliga
Hoffenheim v Mainz
Draw - lost | 4.10

Scotland Premiership
Hibernian v Kilmarnock
Home Win - won | 1.62
Over 2.5 Goals - won | 1.83

Scotland League One
Montrose v East Fife
BTTS Yes - lost | 1.60
FH Over 0.5 - lost
FH Over 1.5 - lost
Over 2.5 Goals - lost | 1.72
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Germany 3. Liga
RW Essen v Duisburg
Draw - lost | 3.80

France Ligue 1
Strasbourg v Nice
Over 3.5 Goals - won | 2.66

Slovenia Prva Liga
Bravo v Koper
BTTS Yes - won | 1.52
FH Over 0.5 - won
FH Over 0.5 - won
Over 3.5 Goals - lost | 2.68
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Spain La Liga
Betis v Espanyol
Draw - won | 3.80

Netherlands Eredivisie
Telstar v Groningen
Draw - lost | 3.80
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Poland 1. Liga
Tychy v Pruszkow
Away Win - won | 3.10

Poland 1. Liga
Wieczysta Krakow v LKS Lodz
FH Over 1.5 - lost

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap - Friday 3 April 2026

England Championship
Sheffield Utd v Swansea
FH Over 0.5 - won
FH Over 1.5 - won

England Championship
Stoke v Sheffield Wed
FH Over 1.5 - lost

England League One
Blackpool v Exeter
SH Over 1.5 - lost

England League One
Bradford City v Northampton
SH Over 1.5 - lost

England League One
Lincoln v AFC Wimbledon
Draw - lost | 4.70
SH Over 1.5 - lost

England National League
Forest Green v Brackley Town
FH Over 0.5 - won
FH Over 1.5 - lost

England National League
Scunthorpe v Hartlepool
FH Over 0.5 - lost
FH Over 1.5 - lost

England National League
Tamworth v Solihull Moors
FH Over 0.5 - lost
FH Over 1.5 - lost

England National League
Woking v Eastleigh
Over 2.5 Goals - won | 1.83
SH Over 1.5 - won

Portugal Primeira Liga
Gil Vicente v AFS
Over 2.5 Goals - won | 1.90

Slovenia Prva Liga
Aluminij v Radomlje
FH Over 0.5 - won
Home Win - lost | 2.10
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Austria 2. Liga
A. Salzburg v Bregenz
Home Win - lost | 2.02
Over 3.5 Goals - won | 3.50

Turkey 1. Lig
Bodrumspor v Umraniyespor
Draw - lost | 3.90

France Ligue 2
Dunkerque v Rodez
Over 3.5 Goals - lost | 2.88
SH Over 1.5 - lost

Tough day, but not alot I can do when the games I'm involved in only average 2.5 goals per game! That's just the way the cookie crumbles sometimes

Alex Rendell

@Shannon-Townsend which one's that? The Santander game you mean?!

Shannon Townsend

@Alex-Rendell thats a If Carlsberg did Betfair trading moment
...

Alex Rendell

POTENTIAL QUALIFIERS — THURSDAY 2 APRIL 2026

No qualifying trades today.

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap — Wednesday 1 April 2026

Spain Segunda División
Racing Santander v Gijon
Home Win — won | 1.90

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap — Tuesday 31 March 2026

England National League
Woking v Altrincham
FH Over 1.5 — lost

Alex Rendell

POTENTIAL QUALIFIERS — MONDAY 30 MARCH 2026

No qualifying trades today.

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap — Sunday 29 March 2026

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap — Saturday 28 March 2026

13:00 | Scotland Championship
St Johnstone v Queen’s Park
FH Over 1.5 — lost

15:00 | England League One
Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon
Draw — lost | 4.7
SH Over 1.5 — lost

15:00 | England National League
FC Halifax v Scunthorpe
FH Over 1.5 — won

15:00 | England National League
Solihull Moors v Altrincham
FH Over 1.5 — lost

15:00 | England National League
Sutton v Rochdale
Draw — lost | 4.3
SH Over 1.5 — won

15:00 | Scotland League Two
Annan v Stranraer
FH Over 1.5 — lost
Home Win — won | 2.34
Over 3.5 Goals — lost | 2.84
Over 2.5 Goals — lost | 1.72

Alex Rendell

Daily Recap — Friday 27 March 2026

Scotland League One
Inverness v Queen of South
BTTS Yes — won
Over 2.5 Goals — lost
Over 3.5 Goals — lost

Alex Rendell

POTENTIAL QUALIFIERS — THURSDAY 26 MARCH 2026

No qualifying trades today.

Alex Rendell

POTENTIAL QUALIFIERS — WEDNESDAY 25 MARCH 2026

No qualifying trades today.