2019 Cricket Trading Thread
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Laying Sri, Fragile batting line up and with SA having a good enough score, i can only see Rain vs SA in this match.
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Does anyone have Betfair Historical Data of cricket matches?
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@sameer-choudhary said in 2019 Cricket Trading Thread:
@sean-fitzgerald hey mate,how's the stats now after league matches in big bash, I am also new in trading like you.
Hey buddy - Unfortunately I fell behind updating my spreadsheet as I got really busy at work leading up to my holiday (which I’m on now).
Through to Game 40 in BBL teams batting 2nd had a 59% win rate.
This doesn’t seem to translate to Bangladesh league where it seemed to be a lot more even with a slight edge to teams batting 1st.
Happy to chat more.
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@sean-fitzgerald hey mate,how's the stats now after league matches in big bash, I am also new in trading like you.
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Listening to Stokes last night, seems like the indents are appearing on the wicket so once they bake in the sun, it should mean it becomes very difficult to bat on.
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Windies missed Holder hugely - plus all the luck went England's way for a change, and Root's boys really should press home their advantage with a 350+ total. We'll then see how the home side's batting responds. I was amazed they won the toss and opted to bowl - a major error - and I expect England to win comfortably from here.
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Would you say England are a low risk lay?
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England 107-4 at still at 1.67 - crackers!
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@richard-futter out at 4.6. Cheers
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Draw looking pretty low now, Windies might have dropped a clanger here as deck won't get better after day 2.
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Eng a big lay.
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Out to 4.... doesn't look as though anyone else is trading, but I'm very happy with the move. Greening up. Good luck if anyone is investing.
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Nice to see Windies have already drifted to 3.45 from 2.96 this morning. Punters seem to have woken up to the draw price which has shortened to 7.2 from 8.6. Did anyone else take advantage of those moves?
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Don't hanker too much for the days of the Boycott & Co. I watched a lot of cricket in the 60's and early 70's and many, many days were as dull as ditchwater! That's why West Indies tours were always sold out; we knew we'd get a show from Sobers, Lloyd et al.
And let's not write off England too quickly. They're still the third ranked team in the world and have usually bounced back well from adversity in recent years. I fully appreciate I may have to eat those words in a couple of hours' time
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@dave-jessop said in 2019 Cricket Trading Thread:
Really can't see why England are odds on even with Holder missing so will be laying them - probably the worst batting lineup I've seen TBH - where are all the top batsmen now?
It's not just England who are struggling, i've watched Aus,SA,Eng and Sri who are all suffering from having a lack of proper batsman.
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Jason Holder's ban for a 'slow over rate offence' in the last Test (which finished in 3 days anyway lest we forget) must rank as one of the authorities' most ludicrous decisions this century - but it hands England a chance of retrieving at least a little pride.
Holder has been a brilliant leader and his decision making superb. He will be sorely missed, and on the best batting surface of the series, surely England will make a decent score - despite a front three of Jennings, Burns and Denly (has there ever been a weaker 1-2-3 in the England Test team?).
So, biting the bullet slightly, I will be laying the Windies between 2.9-3.0. If England win the toss and bat, that price will drift considerably. If not, I expect the draw to come into play. Four of the six matches here have ended in stalemates so the price of 8.4 looks big to me.
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Just a quick tip for those who like an arb. The standard bookies find it very hard to keep up with the pace of the T20 games - especially the smaller ones like the current Bangladesh Premier League - so no risk arbs are very easy to find in play. A few minutes ago Comilla were backable at 2.10 on Bet365 (bless em) and could be layed for 1.88. I nipped in for a guaranteed profit, helped by a very kind free bet offer from our friends at the exchange
I'm guessing there will be many many more opportunities in the fortchoming Pakistan Super League which starts on Valentine's Day. Gotta love it. -
I think they need to go hard at the ball, go aggressive. Windies will not want to chase too many so they start to put fielders back, the variable bounce is the killer but Denly isn't going to do much in the defensive mindset, Go ultra attacking, if you can get 30 or so quickly that will chip away at the deficit.
