2019 Cricket Trading Thread
-
@martin-futter agree Martin. I was worried about motivation initially, but with World Cup places at stake and so much competition in the squad, England have been going all guns in this series.
-
@gary-brown wait for teams to see if Eng pick a good batting team if so I would want Pakistan to put up a big total and go odds on, ready to lay! Have done this twice already in this series and it has worked a treat.
-
Hi guys any potential cricket trades today.
Loved the IPL last week. -
Wow glad I got out before this little collapse. Classic England here.
-
@martin-futter been dripping liability out and greening up now
-
@darri agree with you there, England can rack up runs and are number one in the world based on their batting, their bowling is not that great! so a target below 350 on a great wicket with short boundaries is below par.
-
What im trying to say is that average scores are way higher than before and batsmen strike rates are higher from ipl. I dont think markets are reflecting this at all. Albeit i only have a few months of trading sample on this but i just wanted to ask someone who trades cricket successfully if im looking at it the right way.
-
@martin-futter do you think the markets are overreacting to high scores, iv only just started to trade the cricket and cant judge from previous years. But from what iv seen the markets always favour the apparent high score set, but when you look at how the game is going these are starting to become par scores, i think the world cup will confirm this. Would i be right in saying then that markets arent updating to current run rates and strike rates in the ODI format?
-
@martin-futter totally agree Martin.
-
Had anyone tried using the over under lines on BF set at evens? So the total moves but the odds are always evens.
I was just playing around with it using baby stakes and managed to create a risk free middle backing under 351 runs, then after a dot ball the line moved down to 347 which I then backed the overs on.
Thinking here being that late on in a run chase, if a six is hit, you could back the unders and take advantage of the overreaction. Then if the next ball isn’t a 6 or a boundary the line would settle back down and you could back the over risk free, and create a middle.
Think I’ll keep an eye on this over the WC. -
ask yourself what's the worst thing that can happen when ENG bowling and 1.3 favs so early .. didn't stay up late enough to back ENG chase but yes these small boundaries loving it
-
@richard-futter yes exactly as expected market hit reality eventually! still actually too in favour of Pak
-
Greening up at 1.94. Another nice one-day trade. Hope on or two of you were on. There'll be some good trading opportunities in this one-day series and the World Cup.
-
@martin-futter I think the absence of Buttler has skewed the odds, but that makes no difference at the start of the innings when I shall be doing my trading
