SHG In-Play Trading
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The Bolivar vs The Strongest would qualify under the SOT's the HT score is 2-0
Under 3.5 last price matched was 1.9 so would expect 1.6 fairly early but it's too late so I will be giving it a miss as I will not be around to trade out after a goal.
PS It was on my O2.5 filter so I win if there is a goal anyway. -
Everton Chile Primera HT 0-0 SOT 5 so going again with this one
Under 1.5 goals 1.81 last price matched
First lay in for 1.6
Goal came on 73 mins greened up but for less than I could have the market was all over the place with VAR suspensions -
Silkeborg Denmark qualified by Sofascore SOT 1-1 HT
Matched down to 1.45 on U3.5
Goal at 65 mins greened up
Smaller profit but £1.61 claws back another chunk of the first loss...which was probably one I should have swerved as it lacked the SOT's -
Haugesund game in Norway qualified under sofascore stats 0-0 HT
Goal at 76 minutes and greened up Half my losses on the AIK game recovered whatever happens next -
Moving On the ham Kam game in norway has 1 FHG and 6 SOT
The HT price for laying under 2.5 goals is 1.79 (last price matched) so will be placing lays from 1.6 again which shouldnt be too long to getting matchedGoal at 48 minutes no bets matched!
2nd goal quickly after too! -
I am trying this one as a live example though it doesnt fit with the shots on target the match does have a high probability of a SHG based on the latest results for the teams
Sweden Allsvenskan 23/07/2023 14:00:00 AIK Malmo FF
I tuned in at 50 minutes the Under 1.5 was at 1.47 it is currently on 1.34 at 59 minutes and the game is paused for a hot weather water break.
I will be drip laying to 1.05
69 minutes no goal yet matched at 1.2Finished 0-0 full loss including a saver on Laying under 0.5 at 1.2
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@Chris-King that's a great return so far, keep us updated!
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@Martin thanks Martin. These are my stats so far from single bets on SHG.
45 Trades
SHG S/R 84.5%
SHG 60’> 69%
My S/R 75.5%
11.5pts profitAs i mentioned to Terry i have also played about with laying to 2 goal SH market from HT too. The above stats exclude those matches but when included the SR is 72% and 6pts profit
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@Terry-Heller thanks Terry. Interesting you say that as i have dabbled with laying the SH 2 goal market (1.5 whatever score line it is) from HT in splits and it seems as it if may be profitable but not so much as a straight bet i feel.
I assume your take on that is getting in much later? To be honest, from my experience laying earlier in the second half made me think there wouldn’t be enough swing to turn a profit when entering later but that doesn’t seem to be the case. I might have a test or two using your approach as i really like the idea of trading/laying with a larger upside. Thanks.
By all means give this selection approach a go. That’s why i shared it. Hopefully it’ll work nicely for you. For me as i said it’s just streamlined and controlled my approach to finding selections
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@Chris-King following with interest! Have you been doing any testing on this yet? If so how has it gone? That will be the key indicator as to whether it will work or not, hard to guess the answer.
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You usually have some pretty good ideas Chris. I like this one too. I have been dabbling with SHG's over the last few days.
I have been finding that by jumping to the 2 goals above the current score market and laying the unders on that is quite cheap as they are usually odds on pretty early in the half.
Drip laying at 5-10 ticks and increasing the stake at 1.25 and again at 1.15 when a goal goes in greening up is pretty profitable.
One I did today Flamenco Brazil A league was 0-0 HT
First goal came at 84 mins so most of my lays were matched. only one at 1.05 wasnt.
The green up worked out to be 3.68
The total liability of the lays was 5.00 at the time.
Your selection criteria might give me an improved way of picking the games.
Thanks
