Boxing
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I'm going to start making a few notes/ideas on here to look at trading some of the bigger boxing events. Mainly to look back on. Feel free to join in if you have any thoughts. I've done a little trading on it over the years and done ok for the most part. Will start with the Crawford v Spence fight.
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So the 1st fight I will potentially trade is the spence v crawford fight although it will be on at around 5am, so will see how it goes.
I see spence as the stronger, bigger guy who will try to impose himself on crawford and may do so in the early rounds. However crawford I think is superior technically and has a slight edge with speed. Both have decent power and are capable of hurting one another.
The current odds are spence 2.5 and crawford 1.8, I would say crawford should be closer to 1.7 in my opinion.
Anyway I see this as close fight around 60/40 in favour of crawford.
My plan currently is to potentially lay crawford before the start of the fight if the price drops below 1.7 as he is prone to starting slowly, while he figures his opponent out.
If I don't see an opportunity either pre fight or in the 1st round or 2, I will most likely wait to see if his price goes over 2.5 then provided there are no big warning signs I will back him and look to get out around 1.4/5. -
@Craig-vaulks get @richard-futter's opinion, knows the sport very well!
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@Dan-MacKinnon yeah liquidity can also be a issue with boxing there are not that many events worth trading maybe get a couple a month.
I would imagine it would be similar to boxing in terms of backing the favourite, but I usually trade in play. -
@Craig-vaulks I looked into something similar with MMA. I tested it as a set and forget and simply back the favourite with UFC. It was profitable but very up and down.
The one issue I found was liquidity