*****New Football Thread*****

Richard Latimer

Absolutely shocking weekend before the international break. Onwards I guess.

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I'm up 3,38% this weekend

so i'm happy

Tony Hastie

@Richard-Latimer Mine was never going to be brutal with £1 stakes. but a distinct lack of goals was obvious. Apart from the strategies Im testing that didnt want goals...then there were plenty! Not a lot of action on the forum from most the regular folk...maybe they knew something we didn't

Alastair Todd

@Richard-Latimer Just about broke even yesterday. Today has been rubbish so far. My first two O1.5s ended 0-0 and 1-0, and my SHG O0.5 was also goalless even after 16 goal attempts and 8 shots on goal in the second half. Predictably, all the trades I didn't enter (due to strike rate or low odds) all went on to win easily.

Richard Latimer

Interested to know how everyone else's weekend is going. Mine has been brutal and continues to be.

Richard Latimer

More early goals followed by 3 hits on woodwork stopped the recovery and put me right back. S**t weekend so far.

Richard Latimer

For a better day tomorrow fingers crossed!

Same rules apply as above. Blue are the primary lay under 1.5 which I will lay under 2.5 if price exceeds 6.8 and stays below 9.6
Blank is lay under 1.5 only up to 6.2

Richard Latimer

Hoping for a better end to the day to at least set up some kind of a partial bounceback tomorrow.

Blue - Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6
Remaining lay under 1.5 only up to price of 6.2

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5 Bochum

Richard Latimer

Awful weekend so far. All good work from November undone already.

Early goals but no 2nd half bite. Oh well.

I wonder if the extreme cold in Scotland was a factor. It's cold enough in my living room!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Rushing....

Lay over 1.5 Hradec Kralov
Lay under 1.5 Ceske Budejovice
Czech Liga

Poor start

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5 East Fife

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5 Augsburg

Richard Latimer

Rushing....

Lay over 1.5 Hradec Kralov
Lay under 1.5 Ceske Budejovice
Czech Liga

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Looks like a busy Friday:

Blue are lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 and lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple are lay over 1.5
Remainder is lay under 1.5 only up to price of 6.2

Crap night. All the goals came in Belgium.

£50 loss

3/5 under 1.5 lays
0/2 over 1.5 lays

Akiva Anderson

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

SHG in no the Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix. 1-1 at HT

Bad start to Friday!

Akiva Anderson

SHG in no the Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

Looks like a busy Friday:

Blue are lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 and lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple are lay over 1.5
Remainder is lay under 1.5 only up to price of 6.2

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Overnighter Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8. Lay under 2.5 if between 7.0-9.6:

Ended 3-0

Mark Maguire

@Nick-Allan tried posting this a moment a go but pressed send to quickly so deleted and here's second attempt ..

I record odds for 01.5 and FHG on my own model (as well as o2.5) for all my 02.5 trades.. these are calculated and give me odds and probabilities - I've copied and pasted a section here - often there is a similarity but as you can see there are games where thats not the case and that can depend on the league/country.. there are countries where it starts slower..

Its a reasonable guide and if FHG stats aren't available I will refer to my 01.5 odds as a reference if that makes sense.. anyway hope this helps Left column is %FHG and Odds .. right column 01.5 % and odds

100% 1.08 99% 1.09
97% 1.11 87% 1.24
89% 1.21 78% 1.38
93% 1.15 84% 1.27
97% 1.11 91% 1.14
89% 1.21 70% 1.54
92% 1.17 77% 1.39
91% 1.18 80% 1.34
99% 1.09 98% 1.1
89% 1.20 74% 1.45
93% 1.16 82% 1.31
91% 1.18 87% 1.23
97% 1.10 88% 1.22
87% 1.23 80% 1.34
95% 1.13 87% 1.23
84% 1.28 75% 1.44
88% 1.23 75% 1.43
91% 1.18 84% 1.28
87% 1.23 80% 1.34
87% 1.23 80% 1.35
86% 1.25 76% 1.41
95% 1.13 94% 1.15
87% 1.23 77% 1.4
96% 1.12 90% 1.2
87% 1.24 75% 1.43
79% 1.36 83% 1.29
94% 1.14 80% 1.35
88% 1.22 72% 1.49
92% 1.17 78% 1.39
91% 1.19 77% 1.4
89% 1.21 80% 1.35
99% 1.08 99% 1.09
94% 1.14 90% 1.19
95% 1.13 87% 1.24
94% 1.14 83% 1.31
90% 1.19 83% 1.29
93% 1.16 93% 1.16