*****New Football Thread*****

[Ryan]

Man City might finally win it! Mental how much they've spent to win this comp!

[Alastair Todd]

@Taff-Phillips said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd

https://strikeratecalculator.com/

If you want a shortcut to the Maths

Many thanks Taff, much appreciated.

[Martin Walker]

@Akiva-Anderson 14% increase on starting bank so decent month for halfway ish through.

[Taff Phillips]

@Alastair-Todd

https://strikeratecalculator.com/

If you want a shortcut to the Maths

[Alastair Todd]

@Terry-Heller said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%

So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21

Terry, you're a gentleman and a scholar, thank you! Glad to see that the average odds I'm taking are slightly above that so I can sleep sound at night.

[Alastair Todd]

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!

Hi Martin, now that it's out in the open it will probably take a dive
It's my 1.5 goal filter with a little bit of judicious caution depending on whether the teams still have anything to play for.
Bear in mind that I had 4 losses out of 5 matches at the beginning of this month though (mainly J-League).

[Martin]

@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake

Just checked on this as you do. 0-0
Laid @ 1.23

[A Former User]

@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%

So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21

[Richard Latimer]

Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake

[Alastair Todd]

Had a mental block - can anyone remind me what the equation is to work out what the minimum back odds are that I need with a filter strike rate of 83%?

At the moment I am pretty much taking them all, and some of them probably lower than value, but the upside is that early goals don't matter as the trade is matched from the start

[Alastair Todd]

@Akiva-Anderson 25 / 25 in a row on my filter. That'll be the kiss of death though, now that I've said it out loud!

[Richard Latimer]

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Anyone else having a great month?

I've fought my way back into profit after a pitiful last weekend.

[james everard]

@Richard-Latimer fair play if it's working that's good news mate.

[Akiva Anderson]

Anyone else having a great month?

[Akiva Anderson]

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

SHG in the Machida Zelvia vs Renofa Yamaguchi match. 1-0 at HT

2-0

Hate the way these lower league teams have a running track around the pitch!

[Akiva Anderson]

SHG in the Machida Zelvia vs Renofa Yamaguchi match. 1-0 at HT

[Akiva Anderson]

@Martin-Walker said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson pretty close to my list aswell. I dont do brazil and mexico though. Id add turkey

Can’t be I left out the Israeli Premier League. It’s my favourite for obvious reasons!

“If I forget thee Jerusalem, let my right hand forget its dexterity”!

[Martin Walker]

@Akiva-Anderson pretty close to my list aswell. I dont do brazil and mexico though. Id add turkey

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just the one for tomorrow and it's an under lay in Norway.

Lay Under 1.5 Lillestrom.

0-2 and I'm done for the day