*****New Football Thread*****
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It's looking at the 2 teams' last 10 matches (home for home away and saying that only 6% of those matches combined had a goal in the first 10 mins.
It's this figure in the software:
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@Martin, re: the daily football stats email, this is what it said on one game today.....
"Only 6% of their match history had a goal in the first 10 mins"
Does this mean head to head between the 2 teams or 6% for each team individually in their history.
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@murdo-martin i actually think its easier as you have no opinion on the teams and can look purely at stats and odds...
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@murdo-martin that went well
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It's amazing how little you have to trade when you have a successful strategy or strategies.
Some people ask me "Do you need a large starting bank to trade"? It is a difficult question to answer. A large starting bank is helpful if you've the experience, but the person asking the question normally doesn't have that experience.
Those who remember the '3% Club' (trying to make an average of 3% of your daily starting bank everyday) I used to do; they were actually stressful times. The sheer volume of football matches usually get you through it.
Nowadays, I try and make at least 10% of my weekly starting bankroll. Way less trading equals way less stress. It means I don't trade everyday and I still like to trade the matches I watch.
So a starting bankroll of £100 could be turned into over £10,000 by the end of week 52.
I find trading today a lot more easier than I ever did.
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thinking i might lay the away team now,
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There does seem to be a high elo difference but at the end of the day it’s entirely your call. Personally it’s too short for me from the off but each to their own and horses for courses and all that!
Providing there’s no early goal I imagine it wouldn’t take too long for over 2.5 to reach 1.8 or so.
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@Arran-Shackell according to the email molde should win this easy
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I’d wait for better odds in play providing there’s no early goal.
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@murdo-martin footy stats have over 2.5 goals at 78%
i will wait and see if i get 1.25 -
@Alex-Rule thanks
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@murdo-martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
1.14
Seems like a very short price there. You would need the probability of the outcome to be over 87.72% for it to be value.
This is a handy website to check either the odds or probability so you can compare and get an idea of whether there is any value in a bet/trade. - https://strikeratecalculator.com/
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Morning all, it's probably a simple thing and I know I'll feel stupid once i find out
but I've seen members on here share their Google spreadsheets, can someone tell me how to do this, I'd like to do what others have done showing their strategies and findings in the accountability section. -
fancy molde over 1.5, its 1.14 do i go in pre match or wait 10 mins and hope no goals
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@murdo-martin Good traders are made in the summer.
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this is where the hard work starts. doing teams i know nothing about
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@Arran-Shackell that's one thing I love about backing goals it doesn't matter who scores them!
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@Arran-Shackell my filter results gave me all 10 premier League games today, i know advice on here suggested to trade carefully on the last games but I stuck to my strategy rules and it paid off luckily, 8 games over 1.5 goals 8 winning trades, City and Spurs ended over 1.5 goals but their odds were too high for my rules.
In all today I traded 87 over 1.5 goal games with 78 wins, even managed a 37 winning streak.
The last 3 days have mostly been end of League games, but been profitable in all 3, about time I had a decent weekend. -
Did anyone trade the premier league today?
Just one for me - SHG on Brighton v Man United. 0-0 at HT and In Play XG was 1.4 for Brighton at one point but in the end the goals came from United.
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You’re a gent. Cheers.
