*****New Football Thread*****

Martin · 18 Jan 2025, 10:40

Welcome to the new football trading main thread!

Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!

Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide

We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials

FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score

My testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

Stephen Hancox

@Alastair-Todd Tough one to take, especially if you've invested a lot of time as well on the day. I always look at how Strats perform over a 100 trades at a time. Then I look at 3% profit minimum ideally. All of my Strats have many bad losing days. Took me a few years to get used to that.

Alastair Todd

Sometimes this trading business winds me up - 15 winning trades today and then the last three trades of the day lost, which ended up wiping out all profit for the day. In fact a couple of quid down - what an absolute waste of time

Martin

@Andy-Donnelly good shout that!

Andy Donnelly

Man Utd at 1.72 tonight. Got to be brave to be backing them at that price. Feels like decent lay value there

Martin

@Tony-Hastie it clearly knows it's stuff

Tony Hastie

@Martin You're chat gpt famous

Ryan

@Everyone Martin and I are planning some good podcasts and videos covering the summer leagues, I want to know your Q’s / Concerns or comments about the summer leagues?

Ryan

@Tony-Hastie @Mark-Maguire what have you started again?

Mr. Emmet Moorehouse

@Tony-Hastie They're probably on strike.

Tony Hastie

All hells broken loose in France

Martin

@Kevin-March depends on scope setting but it is usually 10 matches each team

Kevin March

@Martin
Thanks Martin
Maybe I am being a bit dim

number of goals to what
By putting the first criteria, what would i be saying
Is it
I want teams to come up who have scored 20 goals in each of those time brackets over the past week, or month, or year or season - not sure what

for the Ov HT 0-0% <=

Does that mean i am looking for teams who have scored under 20 goals before half time over the past week, season etc

Sorry to be a pain

Martin

@Kevin-March 20 will be the total number of goals then

Kevin March

@Martin Hi Martin
I was looking at one of Ryan's LTD strategies

Overall - Total - goals

Martin

@Kevin-March which strategy is it? It would depend on what was selected in the section pictured

Kevin March

Hello
Newbie to BTC here and trying to build my own strategy
I have used a LTD and O2.5 since August, but havent been too successful
Just looking at some of the criteria on a few of the strategies and just wanting to understand what they mean

Ov Goals 11-20 + Ov goals 21-30 + Ov goals 31-45 >= 20
and
Ov HT 0-0 % <= 20

What does the 20 refer too?

Martin

@Nikki-HALSALL said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alex-Rule I have used it 5 times today for FHG - odds at kick off ave 1.31, went for in at 1.51 using Match Me and Keep in lay, all matched and won

It will match in a short range for these I put 1.51, if the market was moving fast it will match between 1.46 & 1.51 so I make sure the lower number is the very least I would take

I wondered if they would charge a higher commission but it was the same

Edit - Forgot to say its back bets only and it does say only on mobile but working on my Chromebook

might have to give that a go! yeah havn't seen it on site this morning

Alex Rule

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alex-Rule how does it work mate?

What is MatchMe?
MatchMe is a new feature which helps you to achieve a full match when you place a bet.

Why MatchMe?
Odds can change rapidly, resulting in unwanted unmatched bets.

Think of MatchMe as a smart betting assistant which finds the best price available for you, within a range that you control.

Don’t waste time editing your unwanted unmatched bets, use MatchMe to simplify your experience and achieve a full match faster.

Nikki HALSALL

@Alex-Rule I have used it 5 times today for FHG - odds at kick off ave 1.31, went for in at 1.51 using Match Me and Keep in lay, all matched and won

It will match in a short range for these I put 1.51, if the market was moving fast it will match between 1.46 & 1.51 so I make sure the lower number is the very least I would take

I wondered if they would charge a higher commission but it was the same

Edit - Forgot to say its back bets only and it does say only on mobile but working on my Chromebook