*****New Football Thread*****
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@Martin @Andy-Donnelly @Nikki-HALSALL despite my earlier comment about Chelsea i actually have no real feelings towards any opposition teams whether that be in Europe or domestically... over the last few years i have become very detached from the emotion of being a football fan due to ticket prices, having kids etc etc i dont get to Fulham that often anymore and so when i do i enjoy the day out whether that be win or lose (usually lose)... i get my live football fix in non-league these days which is great (and you can have a lager whilst watching) and the occasional weekend away in Europe to vist grounds Fulham may never get the chance to play at.
I like the thinking behind laying Chelsea ahead of tonights match and whilst my trading on the competion is done (with profit thankfully) i am intrigued to see how the odds shift.
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@Andy-Donnelly agree I want Chelsea to win it but who have they beaten? Wouldn't have them below 3.0 here
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@Nikki-HALSALL said in *****New Football Thread*****:
I got told off by a friend who is a Chelsea fan a few years ago for admitting that I can't support certain English teams in European competitions, he said I should support any English team - I still can't. So Arsenal, Man Utd, Man City, Chelsea no,no,no,no - hope I'm not alone
I support English teams in Europe in general but there are a two teams I would never support.
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@Martin Just looking at the club World Cup outrights now. Feel like there is a very low risk play to be done before tonight’s game.
Chelsea are currently 2.88 (or 2.9 lay). I feel that price drifts regardless of who wins the other semi tonight. Would guesstimate it may go to the price Real are currently trading at which is 3.5, especially if PSG win.
So looks like a fairly safe lay Chelsea tonight before the other game and close trade tomorrow once finalists confirmed and market has settled.
Worst case scenario Real win after extra time and get a few players injured or suspended. Still think Real would be favs and price on Chelsea may just stay the same.
How do you read it?
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@Nikki-HALSALL I am with you there, if they do well it directly impacts what happens to your team?! lol they win something its more money and more exposure.
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I got told off by a friend who is a Chelsea fan a few years ago for admitting that I can't support certain English teams in European competitions, he said I should support any English team - I still can't. So Arsenal, Man Utd, Man City, Chelsea no,no,no,no - hope I'm not alone
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I expect Chelsea to win tonight. Think they have played progressively better since the Flamengo game. Just not putting teams away when in control that makes it harder for them.
Expect they will get beaten comfortably in the final tho, so rest easy non-Chelsea fans
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@Martin i greened up on my Madrid outright trade once they beat Dortmund and have gone against the grain and backed Fluminense with some of the profit so i am cheering on the Brazilians... as a Fulham fan it feels more natural than backing Chelsea
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@Andy-Donnelly feels like the defacto final that one doesn't it!
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@Martin Yeh agreed, was a straight forward one that.
Moving forward, having watched both games yesterday might be aligning with your thinking about Madrid. Looked good again yesterday other than crazy last few mins. PSG looked a bit leggy in their game. Wonder whether fatigue might be a factor for them in next game as they havent rotated a great deal.
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@Andy-Donnelly PSG 6.0 into 2.44, as said earlier was far too big a price wasn't it, was always going to shorten and leave a good green.
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Think the 1.81 is a good price for PSG to qualify against Bayern. I’d have it more like 1.6 for them to qualify personally
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@Andy-Donnelly line-ups, weather, motivation of the teams etc are the main ones for me
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@Andy-Donnelly yeah I am thinking Al-Hilal look decent odds to qualify tonight but never quite know in these one off games
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@Martin Also completely different topic. Was listening to your podcast the other day about making sure you do further research on your shortlisted trades before you enter.
I confess I was doing very little of that and no surprise that have been going round in circles with some of my strategies recently.
Question to you and everyone really, for goal based set and forgets, what do people look at (as their additional research) on trades before you enter?
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@Martin Yeh still think PSG will have too much for both Bayern and Real.
Interesting who progresses on the other side. I was planning to fully green up after quarter finals on Chelsea. Might only do a partial green up now. Al Hilal look a big price at 18s tho.
Can see them winning quarter final and that in itself should bring odds down. Think they’ll have a solid chance in semis as well.
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I think the Club World Cup has been predictable. Some great trading opportunities
