*****New Football Thread*****
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As part of the super trader framework, it mentions about taking a range of different pre match prices, not necessarily the 1 or 2 markets you would be trading.
Which do you think is the best way to do this? Manually going through betfair for each match that comes on to your filter, or just adding the betfair odds into the filter itself and setting it to greater than or equal to 1.01.
Just testing an over 1.5 goals strat where i might enter 15 minutes into instead of pre match but the framework suggests getting a range of different odds (Match odds, over 1.5, over 2.5, BTTS) Just trying to think of the most efficient way to do it.
Thanks
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Not gonna lie. Had a poor weekend. Will make up for it with the Champions League this week
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@Joe-Beeston without testing this hypothesis (using software or the good old-fashioned way of monitoring odds movement/time decay and relative strike rates etc), there's no real way of actually knowing the answer to this. I've learned to take the approach that if a market has pre-match value, then you can carry that forward into the in-play markets to help better manage positions, "control" losses, and eek out extra profit. I know people who use this exact approach and have done extremely well out of it.
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Layed Villa for £5 when they 1 nil up.
Trade came good.
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@Shannon-Townsend that's twice now and I wasn't on either
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@Simon-Bates Everton the dream 2up matched betting strategy team at the minute
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When Everton went 2 nil up today, I layed £10 on them.
After Villa had scored their 3rd I just cashed out.
I like these trades
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@Akiva-Anderson Anyone think AI could destroy the betting industry more than the betting industry has already done?
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I’ve also went for a SHG in the Real Betis v Leganes match
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Going for a SHG in the St Etienne v Lille match.
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@Joe-Beeston Hi Joe,I certainly would do as then you would have an idea of the odds you need to achieve at the new entry point.
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Hypothetical situation with testing over 1.5.
If we have a strike rate of 80%, the break even is 1.25 odds. After reviewing the average first goal time, I decide not to enter until the 15th minute. Is there a risk that the 80% no longer stands as this could have been gained because of goals scored in the first 15 minutes, which I would no longer be getting by entering later?
Would you essentially have to rework your strike rate from the new entry point?
Hopefully that makes sense.
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AI generated?
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le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson nice
SHG?
I normally don't do a SHG if a team has a two goal lead or more
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Club football is back!! Baruch HaShem!
Though I did quite well during the international break, but club football is my bread and butter.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Going for Over 1.5 goals in the Harrogate v Doncaster Rovers match tonight
Nice!
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@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin would you do a more detailed video in the future on trying this kind of approach to trading, trading on the losing favourite, I think it would be interesting to see.
Got a podcast that's already uploaded coming out on Tuesday funnily enough! Make sure to listen to it.
