*****New Football Thread*****

Alex Rendell

@Ryan was wondering how he approached this too! What kind of odds range are you working with pre-match? Cheers

Ryan

@Mark-Maguire My understand then is that you are backing over 2.5 goals from the start?

Then if theres a goal in the first 15 mins you leave all the green on the over 2.5 goals?

IF the goal is after 15 mins you green out? Always after the goal?

55 mins is the cut off no matter what?

0-0 OUT - resulting in a loss
1 goal FREE bet version - close free bet at 55 for profit
other scenario you would be out because goal between 16-55 you take the profit and move on.

Mark Maguire

Both worked yesterday albeit that West Ham goal came just before it was time to get out.

West Ham vs Wolves
Jong PSV vs Roda

Possibility of the Leeds vs Boro game qualifying for me today

Akiva Anderson

Been looking at Over 1.5 goals value bets for a while now. These are matches that the odds are better than the probability of the outcome.

Collecting data at the moment, but it is looking promising. Will also start looking for value in Home Team Win

Mark Maguire

Full house yesterday, looking at maybe a couple later on
Hamburg vs Darmstadt
Panserraikos vs PAOK
Servette vs Winterthur
Sassuolo vs Sampdoria

Tonight will cautiously look at the following for 02.5

West Ham vs Wolves.. concern is how much appears to be riding on the game
Jong PSV vs Roda

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Next trade im on is Subotica v TSC SHG. decent odds and stats.

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And we go again. Over 3.5 FHG at 1.4 at the moment is a great price.

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Im backing another. This don't finish 2-0 at half time.

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Early goal. Another will most likely come in the 1st half here.

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FHG in Tottenham v chelsea is my next trade but waiting for decent odds. Think this game will be so open so looking to make a few trades.

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Away with SHG in last 21 games.

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Next is liberec v Teplice SHG. Great stats to this.

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Inplay I'm on is SHG in the Radomje v Primorje game. Great odds and stats.

Simon Bates

I've started looking at the daily email in more detail now.

Then this one today just came in for me

Did another one off the email.

So I usually go for the email statistics where the games state there's an opportunity for a lot of goals, these ones are the ones I win with, but today I tried a different angle, I went through the email list and chose the teams with a high elo rating and put them in a £3 acca, didn't work out how I wanted so just guna keep my eye on the high elo games and see what % actually come off.

Alex Rule

Bit of value on the Sportsbook again......

Mark Maguire

Full house yesterday

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli
Frankfurt vs Augsburg just!! goal on 55 then it went bananas
Genk vs Kortrijk
Red Star vs Tekstllac

Todays list, same principle of split stake 02.5

Goal in first 15 green to free bet, top up
1st goal after 15 mins take green
Out after 55 regardless

Hamburg vs Darmstadt
Panserraikos vs PAOK
Servette vs Winterthur
Sassuolo vs Sampdoria

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My 1st trade of the day is Posusje v Sarajevo FHG. Great odds to this. Away with FHG in 15 of last 16 games.

Mark Maguire

Full house yesterday

PSV vs Twente
Lille vs Brest
Elvesberg vs Nurnberg

Today's as follows:

"02.5 split stake in from start:
If first goal in first 15 mins green to free bet and top up (out after 55 or green on second goal) If first goal is later take green."

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli
Frankfurt vs Augsburg
Genk vs Kortrijk
Red Star vs Tekstllac

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Over 0.5 goals in the San Carlos v Saprissa game looks good. Currently 15 mins into second half.

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SHG in the Brage v Estoril game look nice. Good stats. Wait for better odds.