*****New Football Thread*****
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Anyone trade non league? See the odds on Chippenham flew up just before kick off and they're only going higher despite Chippenham being on the attack.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@andrew-page my O1.5 nearly mirrors yours, yesterday was a good day for me, I was trading my selections from after filtering out the worst performing leagues for my strategy, hoping today follows suit, I'm on 6 out of 6 this morning.
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@Alex-Rule back testing... droooool please... Soon...
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@andrew-page now that's a list and half!!
Are those your final bets or your starting point? -
Lets see if come out today unscathed
Cruch end of a the winter leagues
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@Martin Thanks, but when I click the link I get the not found message and not the json data. Does it work if you click it?
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@mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link
How to Download & Upload a Strategy:
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@Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link
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@mick-mcmahon Tomaz Lay 1.5 strat has been doing well in the long term. Over a years worth of data now as well.
Hang on in there - once the footy update happens it's going to be like opening Pandora's box. The world will never be the same again. You'll be able to back test and then forward test just leaving the strats live in the software (as I understand it). Meaning you can run several strats and collect data at once and not touch them.
Then you will be able to link those to BFBM and and in just a few clicks in the morning your set and forget as well as inplay strats will do done for you!!!!
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@mick-mcmahon 3.0 is here: 1712600619872-filter-settings-3.txt
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Thanks @Martin. Do you have the filters for them and I'll track them too
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@mick-mcmahon lay away 2.0 and 3.0 have been doing well, I did miss the past weekend but apparently they also did very well over the weekend too.
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It just takes soooo long to sort a strat. I had a over 1.5 that I paper tested for about 3 months and had an almost 85% strike rate. Then when I went to start using it I realised the odds for a good chunk of my results where really low
I changed it to record the odds over 0.5, 1.5 & 2.5 but think I accidentally modified as the strike rate dropped
So got a few variations of it now but not quite hitting the 85% again. I also record a few other strats too. Martins lay over 3.5 and lay away among them. But nothing is really setting the world alight.
I created a little web app to import the all results csv from the software and I enter the scores to keep so I can easily follow lots of strats (the goal times ares stores against the match I'd not the start) but still!! Nothing to right home about.
So... Does any have some more-or-less strats that work they be willing to share. I feel I want to see what things people are using to build there's for ideas to modify mine.
Starting again means waiting 3 or so months to realise if you have something or nothing. -
@Simon-Bates this is a good idea mate, I used to do something similar using Smarkets but wasn’t disciplined at all with it, maybe incorporating BTC software to find some value bets will help me leave my Betfair balance alone. Cheers for the response
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@Ben-Dobie I was doing what you was doing, trades outside my plan, It was the excitement of winning and thinking i could do this to every trade I did outside my plan, i quickly realised this was no good for my bank and if I carried on then when it was time to put my normal plan trades on then there wouldn't be enough to cover them all, I thought there's no rush to keep putting trades on cos my plan would give me more filter results the next day so just be patient, what i do when I get itchy trading fingers is forget about Betfair and go through the days footy games and use the BTC software stats to try and work out which teams are likely to win and put a few quid on an acca on one of my bookies accounts, it still gives me the excitement of trying to win by using the software and also learning to use it at the same time and trying different tweaks to win, but without the worry of losing some of my bank, we all do different things to discipline ourselves but this is how I stopped stupid trading outside my plan.
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@Ben-Dobie said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin I'd say probably 4/5 times a week ... weekends when I watch a lot of football can be difficult.
Yesterday was a quiet day and I saw your email and ended up backing Molde to win based upon their form ... tbf they should have won so in essence it wasn't a terrible trade but I get if I'm doing this randomly then I'll see no positive outcome long term in it.
OK I have a challenge for you, I think quitting something like that is quite daunting long term. So try it for a week, say no doing it for just one week. If you get too tempted imagine me on your shoulder going 'uh, uh, uh' (think Denis in Jurrasic Park if you have seen that). Let me know how you get on! If you fail start again.
