*****New Football Thread*****
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Other interesting team of note in the outrights is Switzerland. Think they are overpriced to beat Italy, and then drawn to probably play England next, which wouldn’t be beyond them unless England improve.
70 at the moment but more speculative, so wouldn’t be massive stakes
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@Martin Like the looks of Austria as a good trading opportunity. Largely because you get two cracks at a possible drop in price.
Odds at 60 now. Think they could easily spring a suprise on the Dutch tonight and if they were to win they would play second place from Belgiums group in the next round so would expect price to at least drop to 40 and probably shorter if they won.
If they lose or draw they are pretty much certain to go through anyway and currently if my reading of the third place permutations is correct, they are probably most likely to play the team that finishes top in Belgium’s group. Belgium aside they probably go into the game as favs, which should reduce price from current position and even if it is Belgium, I think they could give them a scare as well, which could provide an opportunity to lay off at some point
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@Arran-Shackell you can see momentum shifts so clearly though, for example the Croatia matched turned on their goal. Italy suddenly started looking really dangerous.
Hungary v Scotland it was like someone flipped the on switch once the 10 minutes of injury time started.
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I’ll be sitting it out for a while I think.
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@Arran-Shackell Yep, felt like everything i went near at the weekend was wrong... got me questioning everything but looked at my data and that has reassured me its hopefully just a blip...
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@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Anyone else had a terrible few days trading wise (euros excluded)?
Euros aside club football not been great for my strategies but I kind of expect that as so many players are on international duty not just in Europe. Think it will pick up again after Euros and Copa America finish.
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Update
Week 5: £146.41 - £161.05 (23rd June 2024)
Made a loss of £6.00 this week. If I had left the Euro matches I would have made a £28.00 profit!
Anyway, the bank should be at £161.05
Actual bank is: £209.60
47 weeks to go
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@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Anyone else had a terrible few days trading wise (euros excluded)?
My Saturday was pretty lacklustre. It was like liquidity was massively down for no apparent reason.
This was on horse racing though and I haven't really looked into it yet so could be wrong about the liquidity!
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Anyone else had a terrible few days trading wise (euros excluded)?
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Is it me or does France's route to the final look pretty good? I like Spain and Germany but looks like they will meet at Quarters on other side. Only major obstacle for France I can see is England or not winning the group. Looks like semis at worst and probably final. Had a bit at 5.2 seems a decent price that will likely shorten.
Good job Germany got the equaliser! Didn't need them in same half. Now got Spain, Germany & Portugal all on the other half.
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@Matt-Wood no way that I'm aware of. They do what they like.
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Can anyone tell me if there is a 100% certain way to know if Betfair is taking a match inplay. Several times now in the last few weeks I have thought a game was going inplay (had a full listing of grey ticks) then it stays suspended after kick off. 5mins later the grey ticks vanish.
Thanks in advance. -
@Andy-Donnelly my thinking is France likely avoid all of those others until the final, so price will come in
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And that Stuart Atwell, is how to make a quick and efficient VAR call which didn't immediately back up the initial decision by on field ref.
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@Martin Yeh they do look the most likely winners, with Spain and germany as next best.
Don’t want to write off Portugal but do think Martinez is a bit of a continental Southgate and will probably hold them back.
Austria and possibly Turkey (see how they do later) probably the best of the big prices imo
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@Stephen-Hancox said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin I had France and Spain on the outrights from the start. With Mbappe still involved and looking like he'll have time to recover a bit, France still look a good price. England still better than Spain according to Betfair! although the potential Germany fixture you've pointed out might be the reason for that.
Yeah they looked fine to me without Mbappe, when he comes back they will be even better. Just missed some sitters last night.
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@Terry-Cooke said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin morning Martin. I’ve not received any either. Only rejoined a few days ago so not sure if I’m on the mailing list
If you don't get the daily email, message support [email protected] so they can add you
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@Martin I had France and Spain on the outrights from the start. With Mbappe still involved and looking like he'll have time to recover a bit, France still look a good price. England still better than Spain according to Betfair! although the potential Germany fixture you've pointed out might be the reason for that.
