*****New Football Thread*****

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What are peoples thoughts/tactics around the shg strategy? I have been looking into it a fair bit and doing it myself for a little while.
The general idea I see is find games with 5 or more shots on target in the 1st half and also a over 85% chance of a goal in the second half with the filter, amongst a few other factors.
I have created a more detailed filter that seems to bring up some decent matches.
I am thinking of waiting around 5 mins after the 2nd half starts or potentially splitting my stake in games. Something I will need to test.

Martin

@ross-love no I'm waiting on backtesting as was tracking it all manually and was taking too much time, especially as it's just for strike rates, that said if anyone else wants to track it please keep me updated!

ross love

@Martin Was this selection from the daily email? Is there a up to date tracker for the email selections as the one I found stops in april?

Martin

@Jonathan-West nothing I've noticed

Trevor H

@Jonathan-West It's fine for me.

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@Jonathan-West anyone else having issues with slow loading times for the betfair site last few days?

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@Martin I'm testing a lay 3.5 goal market for the first 10mins of a game. I have a few filters I'm testing, mainly focused on H2H average first half goal times. I also increasingly use the football ratings spreadsheets. Incidentally, is there a possibility of the football ratings stats being incorporated into the software in the future? for example, the 'goal expectation' and 'activity bias' are so useful for this strategy I am testing.

Martin

@Samo yes inplay stats on SHG is great to use as well feels like some games stats at HT point to a goal coming

Martin

@Craig-vaulks said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Martin for shg I will at least look at league positions and recent results. But again depends on the strategy.

Yes I do this as well, especially how often the scorlines increase a lot after the first half

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@Craig-vaulks

yes there are strategies that are inplay. then you i look at the stats pre and in play.
when we talk about the thomasz strategie then i don't look at the games only that there is still some thing to play for.

etc.
etc.
etc.

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@Martin for shg I will at least look at league positions and recent results. But again depends on the strategy.

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@Martin

depends on the strategie and what the rules are.

Martin

Do people tend to look at the games individually when they are in your filters or selections or do you tend to just trade them without checking them?

Martin

Nice second half goal in Iceland there, my only trade of the night!

Martin

@Jonathan-West what sort of L2B strategy are you using?

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hi all I recently came across a Peter Webb video that included him mentioning his own in-depth spreadsheet, honed over years of experience, which allows him to predict goal times to a high degree of accuracy. As someone trying their hand at L2B the goal markets at various match times, this sounds like the holy grail. So I thought I would ask if anyone is successfully doing this and knows of good resources to try out. Or if they are testing promising strategies on the BTC software?

Ryan

@Alex-Rule I like Smarkets a lot, they have a decent amount of liquidity and markets.

Martin

@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson Didn't even have time to get matched, lol. Did you get your 1.22?

He doesn't muck about does he!

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Tromsø vs Brann match. 1-0 at HT

Trevor H

@Akiva-Anderson Didn't even have time to get matched, lol. Did you get your 1.22?