*****New Football Thread*****
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@Martin Is the fix to do with the shot stats out of interest? I’ve been testing the strategy without the shot stats and normal amount of selections have come up this month. When backtesting comes in, will validate how much of a bearing the shots part of this strategy has
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@Alex-Rendell Adam is applying a fix should get some in the next few days if any qualify
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@Martin same applies to Ryan's LTD Bet Green strategy but that might just be down to lack of games played so far this season?
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@Adam-Cubbage I've not had a single selection this month mate, but I assumed it was just a quiet period as this isn't a particularly high volume strategy anyway.
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@Adam-Cubbage I'll get @Adam to look into this
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@Dan-MacKinnon haha have you got a filter for that one?
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Has anyone else not had a selection from the past month for Tomasz Lay U1.5 filter?
Don't know if just been a really quiet month or some sort of block in my filter. -
Just got back from the Palace game with my mate. Every now and then he would check Bet365 to see what the odds for something happening. Everything he said I thought “I would lay that”.
Shame I’m not checking my account otherwise I would have had a profitable day using the “lay the mug punter” strategy
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@Aaron-Franco good work cheers for this!
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:
Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight
I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.
The data is still great.
Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.
That game still hits all my criteria and looking at the stats it's another....WTAF!!! Vancouver xG of 1.41, 19 shots, 8 on target, 4 big chances, 1 hit woodwork, 15 shots INSIDE the box
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:
Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight
I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.
The data is still great.
Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
I thought i would share my results from testing. I let the bet run until the end.
entry when the market reaches 1.32+ weather that is pre match or inplay. odd range 1.32 - 1.59
Key Information - From £10 Stakes. Starting Balance £1,000
P&L From Testing
£233.88 (Post Tweak) / £133.29 (Pre Tweak)Strike Rate
79.37% (Post Tweak) / 76.36% (Pre Tweak)ROI
7.42% (Post Tweak) / 3.46% (Pre Tweak)Total Selections
315 (Post Tweak) / 385 (Pre Tweak)Ave Odds
1.37 (Post Tweak) / 1.38 (Pre Tweak)Selections a month
39 Ave (Post Tweak) / 48 Ave (Pre Tweak) -
@Aaron-Franco Are these backs or lays?
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Over 1.5 Midtjylland V Brondby
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SHG in the Gent vs Sint-Truiden match. 1-2 at HT
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SHG in the Genk vs Sporting Charleroi match. 0-0 at HT
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My apologies I did forget to mention in my post I'm monitoring at the moment and will be start trading after game week 8
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Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:
Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
