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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.9k Posts 105 Posters 69.2k Views
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by Martin
    #1

    Welcome to the new football trading main thread!

    Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!

    Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide

    We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials

    FHG = First Half Goal
    SHG = Second Half Goal
    LTD = Lay The Draw
    LCS = Lay Current Score

    My testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    M ? S MartinM Rick WatsonR 144 Replies Last reply
    👍
    4
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin last edited by
    #2

    That Fulham goal being disallowed is a travesty!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #3

    Dandenong thunder v dandenong city Shg looks great. 18 minutes left and stats back another goal should come.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    replied to Craig Greenway last edited by
    #4

    @Craig-Greenway different stats sites. Like looking at streaks.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Craig Greenway last edited by
    #5

    @Craig-Greenway how do you find youth games? must admit I avoid them and women's football for the most part!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #6

    Like the look of Coventry u21 v Swansea u21 for a fhg. Home side with fhg in last 24 games and odds approaching evens.

    MartinM C 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    replied to Richard Latimer last edited by
    #7

    @Richard-Latimer I’ve layed man utd in both their league games so far. Tempted to do the same against Burnley but do expect they will win that one.

    Still really surprised that the so called pundits and the markets were being seduced into thinking Utd had drastically changed from last season. It’s the same manager after all. They may yet turn it around but was never enough evidence for them to be touted as the 5th/6th best team in the league

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote last edited by
    #8

    Can anyone even trust they'll be able to beat Burnley at home right now?!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    A 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Ryan last edited by
    #9

    @Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    WOW Man united 😮

    yeah, my FPL team is heavily weighted on Man U for some reason with Cunha, Mbeumo and Sesko. Now wondering who, if any, to remove and who to replace with. It's a draft but only 4 teams so still a few decent players around!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote last edited by
    #10

    WOW Man united 😮

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Craig Greenway last edited by
    #11

    @Craig-Greenway well done!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #12

    Doubt Riga v Sparta Prague finishes 0-0. Over 1 goal line is just under 1.5 which looks good price to me.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #13

    Evening guys. Trading a couple of games tonight. Currently on Emden v shonningen fhg. Small stake on now then will reback if reaches minimum 1.5.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    wrote last edited by
    #14
    This post is deleted!
    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #15

    1st game I'm on today is Spennymoor v Macclesfield to have a fhg. Odds just under 1.4 at moment. Will jump on if this reaches 1.5. Decent stats to this.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Craig Greenway last edited by
    #16

    @Craig-Greenway said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Good start to the day with some of my trades.
    Started researching more a day ensuring I'm only backing trades that have good stats behind them. Osasuna v Valencia just kicked off. Good stats for fhg and started at 1.52 odds. Great value.

    This is the key isn't it, once your shortlist is populated dig deep to see if there are any red flags

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Andy Donnelly last edited by
    #17

    @Andy-Donnelly said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    2.16 for a Utd win today is far too short in my opinion. Markets overreacting to one match last week and still glaring issues in this Utd team.

    Of course could still win but value lay for me

    great shout as ever!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #18

    Great odds and decent stats for a goal in the Cagliari v Fioretina game. Odds at around 1.8 with an hour gone.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • C Offline
    C Offline
    Craig Greenway
    wrote last edited by
    #19

    Good start to the day with some of my trades.
    Started researching more a day ensuring I'm only backing trades that have good stats behind them. Osasuna v Valencia just kicked off. Good stats for fhg and started at 1.52 odds. Great value.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    💥
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    wrote last edited by
    #20

    2.16 for a Utd win today is far too short in my opinion. Markets overreacting to one match last week and still glaring issues in this Utd team.

    Of course could still win but value lay for me

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    2

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