*****New Football Thread*****

[Tony Hastie]

I win

[Shannon Townsend]

@Simon-Bates I usually am as well but looks like I am also allowed a tenner on so I'll take that...

[Simon Bates]

@Shannon-Townsend doing this was what got me stake restricted

[Simon Bates]

@Alex-Rule they let me have £10 for this, I'm usually limited to £2/£4

[Shannon Townsend]

@Alex-Rule sometimes Betfair let you get on it today and again tomorrow so could be a very easy £20...

[Alex Rule]

Bit of value maybe for the weekend.......

[Akiva Anderson]

SHG in the Hapoel Jerusalem v v Maccabi Haifa. 0-0 at HT

[Akiva Anderson]

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Martin Yep! I'll even come on it lol

Pervert!

[Ryan]

@Martin Rodri loss is huge but they'll buy somebody in Jan I think. I am not actually shocked Gundo hasn't been amazing.

[Ryan]

@Martin Yep! I'll even come on it lol

[Ryan]

@Alex-Rendell Yea I think the backtesting would be able to sort that.

[Craig Greenway]

Morning guys. I'm trading FHG in the Western Sydney wanderers v Newcastle Jets kicking off now.

[Simon Bates]

@Alex-Rendell I'd narrowed it down to just 0-0 1-0 0-1 also, this gave me a 70% strikerate, once I start recording odds I'll be able to see if either would be profitable.

[Martin]

@nick said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Martin No British team will make the final this year, is that an over reaction or just realism.

great one I will add that to the next one I do on the games later this month!

[Alex Rendell]

@Simon-Bates interesting to see where this goes, but those scorelines are by far the most common, so dutching all 4 may not prove profitable at all - although you could look to narrow it down to just 2, or find a way of dutching several and trading out on a goal? Something that the back-testing software could tell you insantly, dont you think @Martin @Ryan @Adam ?!

[Simon Bates]

I have a HT 0-0 strategy, 1 of 4, that is performing so badly so I decided to go through all the results, 756 of them.

I checked the scores of them and recorded 619 winning games for dutching HT Scores 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1
82.42 strikerate

I've decided that this strategy is better for dutching them 4 ht scorelines than what it was originally set up for.

Check out my last 55 results, 47 wins 8 losses, it's been mentioned loads by the BTC team not to throw away a strategy cos it's performing crap cos it might be performing better from a different angle as I've noticed with my ht 0-0 strategy

What I'm guna do next is start to record the odds for them 4 ht scorelines and work out an average so I can see if it profitable or not.

Edit, I've just noticed entry 713, by mistake I've not added that 1-1 scoreline, so that's another win and 1 less loss.

[Akiva Anderson]

20:00 Larne v St Gallen (Away Win)

Odds: 1.43

[nick]

@Martin No British team will make the final this year, is that an over reaction or just realism.

[Martin]

@Ryan and @Everyone do people want me to do a special Overreactions Podcast for the Champions League reactions?

[Ryan]

@Martin I 100% agree there they look terrible in the middle of the park but they have muscle memory and they will get through to the knockout and go at least one round I think...

Which would see the price come in and then could see from there.

I think Liverpool would be crazy to not win the league this year.