*****New Football Thread*****
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SHG in the Lincoln Red Imps vs Qarabağ match. 1-0 at HT
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Can anyone tell me please, which football markets move the fastest after kick off the longer it remains 0-0? Draw market or overs markets etc? Does it accelerate much faster in the over 3.5 market than the 1.5 market?
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@Martin yeah would not be surprised if ipswich get into playoff contention. I would probably have sunderland around 6th favourites going by last seasons performances. When they had ross stewart and simms playing they looked very capable of beating most teams.
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@Craig-vaulks Sunderland and Ipswich would be my dark horses, big clubs in the past and Ipswich well backed now finacially
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@Martin I think it could be one of the most competitive seasons in a long time. I have a feeling one of those top 3 teams will have a tough time adapting to championship football. I'm thinking of laying Leicester and/or leeds for top 2 finish. As I've said before if Sunderland can keep their best players and keep them fit I can see them competing near the top so to be 10th favourites is quite surprising. Considering they had so many injuries and still got in the play offs without a striker especially. So I may consider a small back bet on them just before the start of the season.
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What's people's thoughts on the Championship outright market?
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/football/market/1.215233425
Hard to see past the three coming down? Don't like to say it but maybe Ipswich as a dark horse outside bet.
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera
So close yet so far!
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@Stephen-Hancox always wonder how many will actually make it through to the senior squad, it's funny how few do when you would think it was a natural progression
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@Martin The senior side has been very close so maybe over time with these U21's coming through the mix of experience and youth may do it.
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Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay Under 1.5 for blue and Lay Over 1.5 for purple:
San Felipe another where there is no market
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@Martin Yes - I am looking at Away teams with odds of 5.0 or less and from preliminary testing I think I will have a strike rate of between 70-80% which would work with the lower liability limits I have set. Most of the odds I am finding are closer to 4.0 or less so this really helps the profit margin on each trade.
More work to be done in the testing phase but if I go live I shall let people know. Seems like a decent system to try and exploit!
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SHG in the FC Haka v FC Inter match. 2-2 at HT
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Anyone think the over 1.5 goals odds are decent at 1.44 for the England v Spain match?
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@Craig-vaulks 1-1 in varn v djurg game now greened up.
