*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score -
Spurs v Man united FHG is a great trade if it hits decent odds. I will be backing as odds improve as usual.
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Conference league phase finale could be interesting for SHG tonight. Lots of teams with plenty to play for, just have to be wary of which teams don’t care about the competition. Would expect most teams from the smaller nations to be interested tho.
Any games drawing at HT in particular will be of interest assuming the in play stats are reasonable and the teams involved are going for it.
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Morning guys. Will get a few trades I'm on out today. 1st trade is 10am ko and is Boluspor v Trabzon fk FHG. FHG in last 9 games for home side.
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That's an hour im never going to get back. Possibly the worst half of football i have ever watched.
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My next trade is Blackpool v Aston Villa u21 FHG. Away team with FHG in last 25 games. Great stats. Will look for a few possible trades in FH.
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1st trade im on this evening has just kicked off. Real Madrid W v chelsea W FHG. Fhg in last 19 for home side.
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@Peter-Adams nice!! Goals were always coming in the west ham game. Was so open.
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@Craig-Greenway
I was on both games. Traded out for a small loss on the U21 game and Everton scored 2 mins later.
Better on Wham game. Took o0.5g and then did a quick small o1.5g just before the free kick. Used some of the profit on the first goal so it was a free bet. -
My next trade is Over 0.5 in Bournmouth v west ham. Really open game.
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Im trading over 0.5 goals in the Leicester u21 v Everton u21. 0 0-0 in the last 50 for home team and game stats are crazy. Late goal should come here.
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Gob smacked that has ended 0-0 great stats and attacks in Fh. Oh well we move.
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Only game in all the premier league 2 games without a FHG despite having the best stats. Come on let's get a goal.
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Game I'm trading at 7pm is Leicester u21 v Everton u21 over 1.5 FHG. Odds at 1.82. Should be a lively half. 83% of there games this season have had over 1.5 in fh.
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Goal in 14 out of 15 for Ac and 15 out of 16 for Genoa so far this season. Can't see this ending 0-0.
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Evening guys. I'm trading over 0.5 in the Ac Milan game. Will drip stake in as odds improve.
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@Mark-Maguire I do not think you ramble at all, really well executed replies to be honest.
Love it.
That’s a great way of looking at it, I really like the idea of adding extra to the winners too and maximising what you are already doing.
You have already done the work in finding the trade you might as well maximise the return from the work you are already doing.
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@Ryan PS some of the thinking on the staking came from that Tom Hougaard book I mentioned ages ago (Best Loser wins).
In basic terms he was advocating his strategy in the stock market trades - minimising losses of course but also maximising returns when it goes your way - hence the re-investment of green whilst mitigating risk.
