*****New Football Thread*****

Martin

@Craig-vaulks Sunderland and Ipswich would be my dark horses, big clubs in the past and Ipswich well backed now finacially

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@Martin I think it could be one of the most competitive seasons in a long time. I have a feeling one of those top 3 teams will have a tough time adapting to championship football. I'm thinking of laying Leicester and/or leeds for top 2 finish. As I've said before if Sunderland can keep their best players and keep them fit I can see them competing near the top so to be 10th favourites is quite surprising. Considering they had so many injuries and still got in the play offs without a striker especially. So I may consider a small back bet on them just before the start of the season.

Ryan

The Leeds one is interesting, the price seems pretty good to me, for a team with a decent fan base.

Martin

What's people's thoughts on the Championship outright market?

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/football/market/1.215233425

Hard to see past the three coming down? Don't like to say it but maybe Ipswich as a dark horse outside bet.

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera

So close yet so far!

Martin

@Stephen-Hancox always wonder how many will actually make it through to the senior squad, it's funny how few do when you would think it was a natural progression

Stephen Hancox

@Martin The senior side has been very close so maybe over time with these U21's coming through the mix of experience and youth may do it.

Martin

So do we think the Euro U21 success will lead to a trophy for the senior side?

Richard Latimer

Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Lay Under 1.5 for blue and Lay Over 1.5 for purple:

San Felipe another where there is no market

Martin

What a keeper this Trafford is!

Alex Rule

@Martin Yes - I am looking at Away teams with odds of 5.0 or less and from preliminary testing I think I will have a strike rate of between 70-80% which would work with the lower liability limits I have set. Most of the odds I am finding are closer to 4.0 or less so this really helps the profit margin on each trade.

More work to be done in the testing phase but if I go live I shall let people know. Seems like a decent system to try and exploit!

Martin

@Alex-Rule I'm thinking 3-5 ticks shorter rule of thumb

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the FC Haka v FC Inter match. 2-2 at HT

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Anyone think the over 1.5 goals odds are decent at 1.44 for the England v Spain match?

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@Craig-vaulks 1-1 in varn v djurg game now greened up.

Alex Rule

@Martin Spot on - thanks for letting me know! I'll report back on my findings as well.

Martin

The Over 1.5 market is often a good indicator of how the Second Half Goal odds will be at half-time. Anyone have any thoughts about whether it tends to be slightly above those odds or a bit shorter? I think shorter but just checking what others think as I want to record second half goal odds roughly on a filter I've just created. Cheers

Akiva Anderson

Went for a SHG in thr AIK v Hacken match. 1-0 at HT

Martin

@Alex-Rule 75.18% currently after 1092 selections