*****New Football Thread*****
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@Alex-Rule nah, amount I miss out on would be negligible and I like Keith's thinking. By and large if it's not on betfair then it's more than likely a potential risk to my bank rather than an opportunity.
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Has anyone else played around with other exchanges for leagues for specific games that don't seem to appear in Betfair?
Smarkets seems to have more games listed from the - Primera B Nacional and Primera B Metropolitana leagues with 6 games vs 2 on Betair?
Do people feel like they are missing out on ops due to Betfair occasional poor listings or do people shop around regularly?
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@Akiva-Anderson very poor you may as well pack it in
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Made 60% of my starting bankroll for August. Mad that I actually describe that as a poor month now.
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@Alastair-Todd sometimes Betfair gives them strange names which makes them hard to search for and they don't always cover their lower leagues.
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The Finland leagues have some very quick first goal times. I am covering three games from my filter but all of them went unmatched as the goals came too early. Eleven goals between three of them by half time! Bizarrely I couldn't find one of the on Betfair at all for some reason.
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@Ryan Just looking at the premier league odds as well. What price do you think Arsenal would be if city didn’t have those charges hanging over them?
Can’t help feel that arsenals odds look overly short assuming I’m right that man city points deductions don’t come this season
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson I am actually looking forward to the new format, the old group stage was a bit tired, sometimes those last 2 games were a bit painful, bit of a drag.
The draw itself was underwhelming. A lot of it automated.
This is basically the ‘European Super League’ now. It’ll be harder for smaller teams to qualify.
I’ll happily give it a try. It’ll be good for trading I think.
That was exactly my thought. They've basically snuck a European Super League in without us noticing. It could be interesting. Backup keepers and fringe squad players won't get such a look in now that's for sure.
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@Akiva-Anderson Yea I think it will be good for the trading to be fair.
It depends on the results they get on their home games the smaller teams, it's going to tough for the English teams - there's going to be like zero real training time in-between the games lol.
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A friend of mine recently asked me "How do you know you're a successful trader; is it just sucessive profit"? I told him "Yes, that's pretty much it". I actually don't think I'm right. He asked me what I do each day and so I told him...
1: Gratitude: - When I open my eyes in the morning I say the Jewish prayer: 'I am thankful before you loving and enduring King, for you have mercifully restored my soul within me. Great is your faithfulness. Why? - It's a simple reminder that the world owes me nothing. If you want your luck to change you have to do it yourself. Not religious? No problem. I remember reading a self-help book years ago. It said you should start the day off saying 'Thank goodness I don't have tootache'. The principle is the same.
2: My Goal: - To make money (It's not my only goal, but we are talking about trading)! I look at the football fixtures and find a match or matches I want to watch. In the past I saw all football matches as opportunities. This led to overstaking and me losing money. I now look at the football fixtures and see them as a threat to my income. By doing this it has enabled me to do better risk management.
In the past I've always been good at seeing 'opportunities', but poor at seeing 'threats'. I've had to adjust. Take my SHG strategy; there may not be a SHG. That's certainly a possibility, but that is out of my control. What I am in control of is, how I execute the trade and how I react / or don't react to loss.
An example would be: The home team is losing 0-1 at HT. I'm in for a SHG. That goal comes in around the 60 minute mark. It's now 1-1. Do I go in again? I try not to, because then my strategy has changed. That would be a two SHG strategy! Of course it's an opportunity, but it is also a threat. I prefer to switch the match off and look for another trade.
Anyway, just a thought I was having!
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Something I am thinking about today and would like the group's thoughts on.
When a new league gets added to the software, do you test it individually itself for your proven strategies or would you trade it if it popped up in your filters straight away?
I’ll maybe watch and look at the stats for a bit. I don’t have to trade everything on the software!
I’ll evaluate whether it’s an opportunity to make money or a threat to my balance
