*****New Football Thread*****

Trevor H

@Akiva-Anderson Thanks for the PSV heads-up. I laid the 1, took a free bet on X2 when PSV made it 1-1 and then greened up for 25% RoI at 2-2 on 90'. Could have been more, of course, but I'm happy enough with that.

Richard Kedie

@Akiva-Anderson another top tip, cheers. do you use the BTC software for your game selections, or is it in play stats?

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Linfield v Cliftonville match. 1-0 at HT

Akiva Anderson

PSV are a great price against rangers tonight.

Also, Aston Villa for tomorrow night is a superb price

Andy Donnelly

@Martin As it happens it’s been pretty break even this month if following the selections without the shot stats, so assuming they would all have been qualifiers (with shot stats included) no profit has been missed

Martin

@Craig-vaulks should be fixed with the fix

Martin

@Andy-Donnelly yes I believe so, how did they get on?

? Offline

@Martin I have had a similar issue with my FHG strat only had 3 selections this month compared to 30 last month.
Just thought it may of been due to summer leagues but think I should be getting a few more fixtures, got around 130 in may.

Andy Donnelly

@Martin Is the fix to do with the shot stats out of interest? I’ve been testing the strategy without the shot stats and normal amount of selections have come up this month. When backtesting comes in, will validate how much of a bearing the shots part of this strategy has

Martin

@Alex-Rendell Adam is applying a fix should get some in the next few days if any qualify

Alex Rendell

@Martin same applies to Ryan's LTD Bet Green strategy but that might just be down to lack of games played so far this season?

Alex Rendell

@Adam-Cubbage I've not had a single selection this month mate, but I assumed it was just a quiet period as this isn't a particularly high volume strategy anyway.

Martin

@Adam-Cubbage I'll get @Adam to look into this

Martin

@Dan-MacKinnon haha have you got a filter for that one?

Adam Cubbage

Has anyone else not had a selection from the past month for Tomasz Lay U1.5 filter?
Don't know if just been a really quiet month or some sort of block in my filter.

Dan MacKinnon

Just got back from the Palace game with my mate. Every now and then he would check Bet365 to see what the odds for something happening. Everything he said I thought “I would lay that”.

Shame I’m not checking my account otherwise I would have had a profitable day using the “lay the mug punter” strategy

Martin

@Aaron-Franco good work cheers for this!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:

Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight

I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.

The data is still great.

Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.

That game still hits all my criteria and looking at the stats it's another....WTAF!!! Vancouver xG of 1.41, 19 shots, 8 on target, 4 big chances, 1 hit woodwork, 15 shots INSIDE the box

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:

Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight

I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.

The data is still great.

Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.

Aaron Franco

I thought i would share my results from testing. I let the bet run until the end.

entry when the market reaches 1.32+ weather that is pre match or inplay. odd range 1.32 - 1.59

Key Information - From £10 Stakes. Starting Balance £1,000

P&L From Testing
£233.88 (Post Tweak) / £133.29 (Pre Tweak)

Strike Rate
79.37% (Post Tweak) / 76.36% (Pre Tweak)

ROI
7.42% (Post Tweak) / 3.46% (Pre Tweak)

Total Selections
315 (Post Tweak) / 385 (Pre Tweak)

Ave Odds
1.37 (Post Tweak) / 1.38 (Pre Tweak)

Selections a month
39 Ave (Post Tweak) / 48 Ave (Pre Tweak)