*****New Football Thread*****

Martin

@Adam-Cubbage I'll get @Adam to look into this

Martin

@Dan-MacKinnon haha have you got a filter for that one?

Adam Cubbage

Has anyone else not had a selection from the past month for Tomasz Lay U1.5 filter?
Don't know if just been a really quiet month or some sort of block in my filter.

Dan MacKinnon

Just got back from the Palace game with my mate. Every now and then he would check Bet365 to see what the odds for something happening. Everything he said I thought “I would lay that”.

Shame I’m not checking my account otherwise I would have had a profitable day using the “lay the mug punter” strategy

Martin

@Aaron-Franco good work cheers for this!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:

Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight

I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.

The data is still great.

Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.

That game still hits all my criteria and looking at the stats it's another....WTAF!!! Vancouver xG of 1.41, 19 shots, 8 on target, 4 big chances, 1 hit woodwork, 15 shots INSIDE the box

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:

Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight

I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.

The data is still great.

Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.

Aaron Franco

I thought i would share my results from testing. I let the bet run until the end.

entry when the market reaches 1.32+ weather that is pre match or inplay. odd range 1.32 - 1.59

Key Information - From £10 Stakes. Starting Balance £1,000

P&L From Testing
£233.88 (Post Tweak) / £133.29 (Pre Tweak)

Strike Rate
79.37% (Post Tweak) / 76.36% (Pre Tweak)

ROI
7.42% (Post Tweak) / 3.46% (Pre Tweak)

Total Selections
315 (Post Tweak) / 385 (Pre Tweak)

Ave Odds
1.37 (Post Tweak) / 1.38 (Pre Tweak)

Selections a month
39 Ave (Post Tweak) / 48 Ave (Pre Tweak)

Aaron Franco

@Trevor-H

They are backs

Ryan

I am well looking forward to the rest of this season.

So many teams in the Premier League look like they cause problems. I still think City will win it but I don't think they'll canter it.

Trevor H

@Aaron-Franco Are these backs or lays?

Aaron Franco

Over 1.5 Midtjylland V Brondby

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Gent vs Sint-Truiden match. 1-2 at HT

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Genk vs Sporting Charleroi match. 0-0 at HT

Aaron Franco

@Richard-Latimer

My apologies I did forget to mention in my post I'm monitoring at the moment and will be start trading after game week 8

Richard Latimer

Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:

Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight

Martin

@Aaron-Franco interesting stuff will follow with interest!

Aaron Franco

Afternoon everyone,

I hope everyone is having a nice weekend, this is my first time posting on here. I spent all last season gathering data on a number of strategies and after spending the summer looking through it all I think/hope some profitable strategies have been found and this is going to be my first season properly staking and wanted to share some selections with you all

Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby V Randers O1.5

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Viktoria Plzeň vs Sigma Olomouc match. 2-1 at HT

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Lille v Nantes match. 0-0 at HT