*****New Football Thread*****
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@Craig-vaulks good advice and congrats on still being able to bet with William Hill!
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You can get evens for a FHG on William Hill for the game tonight. Easy profit or a risk free bet, if laying off on the exchange.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Rosenborg v Crusaders match. 1-1 at HT
Can’t believe there’s no extra time market. I would’ve went in. Odds would probably have been 1.50
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SHG in the Rosenborg v Crusaders match. 1-1 at HT
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SHG in the Kups v Derry City match. 2-1 at HT.
There are a few other games like Pogon v Linfield or Tbilisi v Hamrun, but the prices are horrible
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@Samo Nice one - had 5 LTDs last night and 4 had a goal - leaving a 12% ROI overall with a 80% strike rate. Fits with my research so it's a positive start. Will have to see how we end the month and I'll keep everyone posted.
Cheers!
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Plenty of football on today, we should be able to find a SHG or two
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Häcken vs KÍ match. 1-1 at HT
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Maccabi Haifa vs Sheriff match. 1-1 at HT
Thought that goal in Haifa was never gonna come!
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SHG in the Maccabi Haifa vs Sheriff match. 1-1 at HT
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SHG in the Häcken vs KÍ match. 1-1 at HT
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SHG in the Qarabağ vs Raków Częstochowa match. 0-0 at HT
I expect Over 1.5 Goals in the Maccabi Haifa vs Sheriff match. Just about to kick-off
Heading out tonight. See ya later
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sounds good.
i think you can be proud of the work you already dit collecting all the data, stick to it. don't stop and try some thing else half way trough.
you did a really important step in the proces and now you are ready to go one step further and test it in real life and put your money on the line.
in the end you are already winning bro!!
i will be looking forward to you proces updates
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@Samo said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Nice. Enjoy
what strategies are you going to trade live and why are you going live ?
more date or confidence in your own abilitiesYes, I have always wanted to try inplay trading as I feel like you can react to changing market conditions faster. Below are the strategies I'm going to trail live this month and see how I get on.
- LTD 0-0 at half time (green up when a goal is scored) - 260 games tested for a SHG with a 78% strike rate.
- Late goal 59 mins (back another goal and let it run) - 386 games tested with a 81% strike rate
- Late goal 69 mins (back another goal and let it run) - 517 games tested with a 69.5% strike rate.
I'm going to split my late goal bank across the 2x enter points and collect the data to see which is the more profitable with an eye to choose the best after a few months.
I'm also collecting data on some tweaks to the LTD strategy to try and get a lower price when laying and maintaining a high strike rate for goals.
Let's see how we go and if they are doing the job I will share them as they come in! Let's make some moneys!
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@Richard-Latimer 100% I really dislike the teams fans slating the owners for not buying XYZ player.
It doesn't work like it does on FM. Yeh your team didn't buy them and they went somewhere else, maybe because the package that team offered more.
OR well we should XYZ players we should have waited to buy that player (who's already moved lol).
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@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson That's women's football for you. I thought you were steering clear of their WC altogether.
I should have! Thought with Brazil needing to win they might 'go for it'.