*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current ScoreMy testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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@Alastair-Todd Get in!!!! This is amazing stuff, has this come from more than one strategy?
Buzzing you have taken on board what I have been saying, there's so much gold in looking at those stats on existing strategies.
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I wonder how September has been for everyone? For some reason, it has been my best month by an absolute mile and I have increased my bank by about 70% in a month. I have tried to put my finger on it and, apart from the Bet 365 free bet offers, I can only put it down to taking much more notice of the stats and my spreadsheets. @Ryan - I have taken on board your recent videos and have tried to be more disciplined about respecting the league strike rates and the stats for goal timings, scores etc. I fully expect that my luck will turn and that I will go quiet at the end of October, but for the moment it seems to be working.
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@Alastair-Todd 3 if you back the draw for half time and a goal goes in on 45+3
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@Alastair-Todd I know the feeling.
On the flip side, laying Man Utd when they are favs is proving very fruitful at the moment. Thought they were too short again today and already greened up when Brentford went 2 up, happy days!
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Two really annoying things:
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It always seems to be the last trade of the day that loses, wiping out most of your profit.
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You lose your Over 0.5 goals at HT and then they score in the first 2 minutes of the second half!!
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS You will be able to backtest any strategy idea and it will backtest it for you.
Martin and I are working on some AI stuff as well
We have a football and a tennis thing we are working on.
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@Ryan I’m actually excited ….. I think you know me by now…… how will it help me trading goals ?
Help me build new strategies? Is it AI driven ? -
Great stats for a fhg in the Braga v feyenoord games. Fhg in last 10 for home and last 19 games for away. Odds approaching 1.7.
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS As soon as @Adam tells me
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@Ryan looks good, but when is the video demo?
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Altrincham v forest green fhg is at 1.4. great stats to this. Home with fhg in last 24 games.
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@Shannon-Townsend my boundless infectious energy is a gift isnt it
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@Ryan you know how raise moral on a Monday morning
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@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson get on ok? I havent been keeping up with Lincoln recently, I do hear they are doing great mind
Too early to say. Both teams are top of the league, but are squad players at this moment in time. Hope to see them get more game time over the next few weeks
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@Akiva-Anderson get on ok? I havent been keeping up with Lincoln recently, I do hear they are doing great mind
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@Ryan I see there were two on loan Lincoln players on the bench for the Coleraine vs Glentoran match on Friday. Zane Kola Okoro came on for Coleraine and MJ Kamson-Kamara for Glentoran
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but the amount of 0-0s in Argentina is actually insane, even for a low scoring league
