*****New Football Thread*****

Akiva Anderson

19:45 - Linfield vs Pogoń Szczecin

20:00 - Crusaders vs Rosenborg

Fancy away wins tonight in these fixtures.

Both around the same price (1.85, 1.87). Pogoń Szczecin were 2.12 at one stage.

I would've had both sides around 1/3.

I'm doing it as a double.

You never know in Europe, but worth a small punt

Akiva Anderson

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Dan-MacKinnon I was thinking about this today, as a Liverpool fan I was thinking Jesus Liverpools first game is Chelsea this is tough, but then saw a lot of Chelsea players praising Liverpools business this summer and saying how they might line up against their team. They were worried.

Sometimes when you're in the jar it's hard to read the label. There's not really any teams that have done what I would consider amazing business.

I think Wolves will be in trouble as well, Neves is going to be a huge loss I think for them!

Still think Liverpool are short of players. Think Newcastle might struggle for Top 4 this season. Remember, they didn't European football last season. They were able to put their strongest XI out every week. That won't be the case next season.

City, Arsenal Top 2. Then the rest to fight it out for the Top 4

Ryan

@Dan-MacKinnon Lol imagine! He'd score a bucket load with the quality service you guys would give him

Dan MacKinnon

@Ryan True. Plus all the activity from the Saudi teams makes everyone else look like they're sitting on their hands. I'm sure that's had some sort of impact.

I wonder if Palace could make a cheeky bid for Mbappe?

Ryan

@Dan-MacKinnon I was thinking about this today, as a Liverpool fan I was thinking Jesus Liverpools first game is Chelsea this is tough, but then saw a lot of Chelsea players praising Liverpools business this summer and saying how they might line up against their team. They were worried.

Sometimes when you're in the jar it's hard to read the label. There's not really any teams that have done what I would consider amazing business.

I think Wolves will be in trouble as well, Neves is going to be a huge loss I think for them!

Martin

@Dan-MacKinnon always amazes me how late club leave it!

Dan MacKinnon

@Andy-Donnelly no one other than the big clubs has really signed anyone. I'm not surprised as it was a long season with the World Cup so maybe it'll be a last minute trolley dash in August

Martin

@Andy-Donnelly they defo need to sign some players!

Andy Donnelly

What are peoples thoughts on the relegation market for next season?

Just reading the comments by Lopetegui and seeing how many players wolves have let go. Could see him walking at some stage. Without him they’d be in big trouble next season. 3.95 at the moment.

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@Trevor-H not by the looks of it, 3 times 0 teams have gone back up and only twice have 2 teams gone back up. It maybe makes 1 team going up a little more regular but still a similar average but not a lot of results to go off.

Trevor H

@Craig-vaulks Did parachute payments (from 2011-12) make any difference?

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@Craig-vaulks after having a quick look over the last 29 years on 10 occasions 0 of the relegated teams were promoted 6 times 2 teams were promoted and never have all 3 teams gone straight back up. It averages just under 1 team per season.
Not sure if anyone is bothered but there it is.

Trevor H

@Craig-vaulks I'd just check the season tables on Wiki. Shouldn't take long.

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Does anyone know the easiest way to find out where teams relegated to the championship finished. Maybe over the last 10 years or so. Would be interesting to see how many go straight back up.

Ryan

@Jonathan-West I think @Mark-Maguire might be able to sort that?

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@Martin I think I also traded the same game. Yeah the score at HT can be useful when deciding to trade it or not. If the heavy faves are 2-0 or 3-0 up it may be worth avoiding or at least waiting a while to see how the second half develops.
That's what I've done with my filter added overall average over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half and also overall average goal time below 67mins. Amongst a few other things.

Martin

@Craig-vaulks yes this is a great idea, look for teams that score plenty of second half goals and also good inplay stats, also look for scorelines that suit. Like that Icelandic game at HT home team losing 1-2, they were heavy favs prematch. Easy to get on at 65 mins at 1.4 (I actually took 1.3 at 60) as goal was so likely. Ended 2-4

Martin

@Peter-Backhouse-0 will ask @Adam in our meeting tomorrow

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@Terry-Heller thats good going, combining in play and pre match stats is definitely my prefered way to trade. I have just been reading through Chris's link about the shg strat.
There are a couple if interesting staking methods that I like the look of. Split staking the 2 and 1 goal market and also the 2 and 3 goal markets. Something I may start testing myself in the coming months.

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@Craig-vaulks I have been playing around with it just based on the inplay SOT's and not worrying what the score is at HT. Laying the unders 2 goals ahead entering at 1.6 then dripping more in down to 1.05. Not many games covered yet but it is proving to be profitable. The only loss atm was one where I ignored the SOT stat and went by previous form from the stats software. (sorry Martin )