*****New Football Thread*****
-
@Samo This does make sense - I just need to get my head round it now aha and do some maths! Cheers, Alex
-
I’ll bear it in mind, thank you.
-
@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Also went for a SHG in Chelmsford v Hemel Hempstead. Which did come.
I was there , poor poor match which Hemel won 2-1 thanks to two soft penalties to inflict our first defeat of the season.
We have generally have a good defence and midfield but the strike force is shocking so if you want to normally go for goals in Chelmsford's matches don't bother it was a one off! -
Looks like the National League North & National League South to trade tonight?!
-
Also went for a SHG in Chelmsford v Hemel Hempstead. Which did come.
-
@Samo
not only there is a SHG but i enjoyed the 2e half a lot
watching a game of this leven is just pure fun. the tackles they make, the player without a number on his shirt reminds me of playing my self as amateur.have a good night
-
thanks for the tip
it looks like a goal is on the way -
Going for a SHG in the Cambridge v Reading game. 0-0 at HT.
-
how do you place your lay bets is it with a fixed liability or with are variable liability depending on the od you are laying on?
what you also can do is take all the losses and calculate the average loss and do the same for the wins.
then out of 100 bets you have
65 wins times the average win amounth
35 lossing times the average loss amount
then you can see if there is a profit and how much and you can do the same for the cash out option at 80 mincompare the 2 outcomes and you know wat would have move profit over the periode of the trades that you had in the past
i hope you can follow my thinking proces
-
@Samo said in *****New Football Thread*****:
i have strategies that i want more data for
set and forgetbut i'm not paper trading them i chose to wait for the back testing because it find it realy time consuming to collect all the data for all the diferent strategies etc
Yeah, I’m prepared to wait for the backtest software.
I hate paper trading. I’m not good at keeping records, but also because paper trading teaches you nothing about emotion when trading
-
@Samo what I'm trying to work out is the different profitability of each strategy.
- Current method - 73% strike rate / 16.38% ROI
- Let it run - 65% Strike rate / ???? (how can I work out the ROI?)
Wondering if there is a quick fix?
-
https://www.oddsmonkey.com/matched-betting/calculator/
i used this site to calculate
not sure if this is what you mean
but you can calculate your back bet vs lay bet and the profit also over lay or under etc
-
-
i have strategies that i want more data for
set and forgetbut i'm not paper trading them i chose to wait for the back testing because it find it realy time consuming to collect all the data for all the diferent strategies etc
-
i"m looking at Lyn vs Arendal for a SHG
min od 1,4 and 60min for entryit is in my filter
i also had the Malaysia game in my filter but the SHG goal was to early for my entry so no trade there.
brann 2 game same story
and the egersund game is 3-0at half time so i will leave that one also -
Anyone here paper trading at the moment?
-
Not a lot on the next few days. I f*****g hate international football
-
No luck on the over lays although I messed up times of the overnighter so came away happy on that one.
Selections would have been around break even today although in real terms I'm up again. First time in months I've had both a winning first weekend to the month and every day a winner so far.
Santos Laguna - lay over 2.5 - lose
IBV - lay over 2.5 - loseBasel - lay under 1.5 - win
Trnava - lay under 1.5 - win
Toluca - lay under 1.5 - winPosted selections on my thread
-
SHG in the Hapoel Yerusalem v Maccabi Haifa match. 1-2 at HT
