*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score -
Todays limited again:
Certainly 02.5 trade on
Cagliari vs Inter
01.5 trades when odds get to 1.3 : split stake and out after 65 if no goal
Porto vs Boavista
Lazio vs Atalanta -
Brighton vs Brentford game for o2.5
Awful! booked like loads of goals due in first twenty minutes and then died a death .. happens but annoying when it does
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All good yesterday
Club Brugge vs Westerlo
Coventry vs Plymouth
Celtic vs Motherwell
Liverpool vs LeicesterQuiet today but will almost certainly look at the Brighton vs Brentford game for o2.5
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loving that Man United are 14th!!
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Poor 1st half there. 2 goals in second half is likely. 3 is a bit of an ask but you never know.
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Evening Guys. I'm trading over 2.5 in the Wolves v Man u game. Both teams have had over 2.5 74% of the time this season and 7 out of the last 8 h2h have had over 2.5. Odds currently at 1.81. Putting good stake on this and another small stake if reaches evens.
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SHG in the Watford v Portsmouth match. 0-1 at HT
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Are Shitty ever going to win again?
1 win in 13 is batshit
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Compliments of the season one and all.. hopefully now we can have a quantity of football to trade
Todays Over 2.5 small selection but as usual split stake from the start out after 55 if no goal, if goal in first 15 green to free bet and continue split stake to 55, if goal after 15 take green, entry points start, 15 mins, 35 mins and half time the first two automatic the second two based on attacking intent in play.
Club Brugge vs Westerlo
Coventry vs Plymouth
Celtic vs Motherwell
Liverpool vs LeicesterOne thing over festive period to note I am always cautious go managers managing minutes of players - this can sometimes manifest I getting early lead and sitting on it .. just a note of caution for my trading.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Over 1.5 Goals (Value):
19:45 - Dungannon v Larne
Do they ever un-suspend the market on Betfair?
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SHG in the Fiorentina v Udinese match. 1-0 at HT
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@Martin Been looking at games other than 0-0. If 0-1 or 1-0, O 1.5 total has to be 75% or more. 1-1, O 2.5 has to be 60% or more. That's over and above the stats you've mentioned in message and previous vids/podcasts.
Also asked chat gpt for the 40 best leagues for shgs.(anything to not actually have to watch football!)
Been going ok...
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Over 1.5 Goals (Value):
19:45 - Dungannon v Larne
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@Martin for me it would be a combination of 2h home scored, away scored then same with conceded.
I should add this is a theory and not something I've done.
It is however the way I am looking at all football strategies/systems now.
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Looking to create some content on stats to looks for with Second Half Goal Strategies, wondering what other people have used for theirs?
So far I have:
Shots on Target H2 - Total
Goal Attempts H2 - Total
Total Scored H2 - Total & %
H2 Over 0.5, 1.5 & 2.5 - %
Scored in H2 - % -
@Andy-Donnelly great shout that!
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SHG in the Monza v Juventus match. 1-2 at HT
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My next trade is Den haag v Oss FHG.
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Late FHG in the Ragensburg v Darmstadt is what I'm trading. Odds currently 2.94. Low stake.
