*****New Football Thread*****

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Cambridge v Portsmouth match. 0-0 at HT

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just the one for me tonight. Lay under 1.5:

That was quick
0-2

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Inter v Salzburg match. 1-0 at HT

Richard Latimer

Just the one for me tonight. Lay under 1.5:

Akiva Anderson

I love that there is often football on early evenings 5:30pm / 6:00pm.

Martin

@Jonathan-West there was a thread recently about spreadsheet templates, not sure if that would help but here it is: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4541/does-anyone-know-of-a-good-sports-tracker-betting-apps-or-tracker-spreadsheets-to-put-my-trading-data?_=1698125756106

Chris King

Nice green on the Palermo match and just missed out on the goal in the Fiorentina match reaching my stop loss first. Up overall though 1.12pts

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For tonight:

Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6

1/1 under lays
1/1 over lays

Decent green

Chris King

Going for SHG Fiorentina v Empoli 5 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 80% on BTC stats

Chris King

Going for SHG Palermo v Spezia 7 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 75% on BTC stats

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the OB v Midtjylland match. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

For tonight:

Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6

? Offline

@Martin r anybody else that can help. I'm keen to start using the football ratings data in a more sophisticated way than I currently am. up to now I have used it to verify my hunches or further filter set and forget strategies.

I'm aware that each rating gives weight to a certain outcome but I would really like to implement them in a more rounded / thorough way by combining them, perhaps in a spreadsheet that creates a predictive picture that helps highlight value / edges.

As an example, I have added columns to the data and have devised rudimentary calculations to help suggest each teams' goals based on their home/away offense/defense scores. I also figure out team's implied odds purely based on their elo ratings.

I guess what I'm asking is, can you point me to any decent online templates or know of any good resources that help combine all the raw data you provide?

? Offline

@Akiva-Anderson Great work! Are all of your trades pre match or inplay?

Akiva Anderson

Breakdown of my trades so far this month:

5 Away wins (4 wins, 1 loss) = £237

3 FHG (3 wins, O loss) = £84

7 Home Wins (6 wins, 1 loss) = £178

6 LCS (4 wins, 2 loss) = -£53

25 Over 1.5 Goals (23 wins, 2 loss) = £464

90 SHG (75 wins, 15 Loss) = £505

Akiva Anderson

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson This is you keeping records!!! who even are you!!

I know!! I've no excuse now. Found a bit of free time (usually just before bed), that I try and update.

October so far in numbers:

134 Trades
113 Wins
21 Losers

Ryan

@Akiva-Anderson This is you keeping records!!! who even are you!!

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson standard for you well done!

Akiva Anderson

Personally, I've had a good weekend of trading:

Australia A-League 20/10/2023 09:45 Adelaide United Central Coast 1.3 1-0 3-0 £30.00 OA/B FHG
Australia A-League 20/10/2023 09:45 Adelaide United Central Coast 1.21 1-0 3-0 £21.00 OA/B SHG
Japan J-League 20/10/2023 11:30 Urawa Kashiwa 1.35 0-0 2-0 £35.00 TV SHG
Denmark Superliga 20/10/2023 18:00 Hvidovre Silkeborg 1.31 1-1 1-2 £31.00 O O1.5
Denmark Superliga 20/10/2023 18:00 Hvidovre Silkeborg 1.23 1-1 1-2 £23.00 O SHG
Italy Serie B 20/10/2023 19:30 Parma Como 1.31 1-0 2-1 £31.00 O SHG
Northern Ireland Irish Premier League 20/10/2023 19:45 Larne Carrick Rangers 1.22 1-0 2-0 £22.00 OA/B O1.5
Spain La Liga 20/10/2023 20:00 Osasuna Granada 1.3 1-0 2-0 £30.00 O SHG
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 07:30 Melbourne City Western United 1.22 0-0 1-2 £22.00 OA/B/O O1.5
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 07:30 Melbourne City Western United 1.46 0-0 1-2 £46.00 OA/B/O LCS
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 09:45 Sydney FC Melbourne Victory 1.33 0-0 0-2 £33.00 OA O1.5
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 09:45 Sydney FC Melbourne Victory 1.22 0-0 0-2 £22.00 OA SHG
Spain La Liga 21/10/2023 13:00 Real Sociedad Mallorca 1.39 0-0 1-0 £39.00 OA/B/O SHG
Germany Bundesliga 21/10/2023 14:30 Freiburg Bochum 1.25 2-1 2-1 -£100.00 OA SHG
England Premier League 21/10/2023 15:00 Nottingham Forest Luton Town 1.35 0-0 2-2 £35.00 OA/O SHG
England Premier League 21/10/2023 15:00 Brentford Burnley 1.25 1-0 3-0 £25.00 OA SHG
Northern Ireland Irish Premier League 21/10/2023 15:00 Glentoran Glenavon 1.29 3-0 3-1 £29.00 OA/B/O HW
England Championship 21/10/2023 15:00 Hull City Southampton 1.24 1-1 1-2 £24.00 TV SHG
Italy Serie A 21/10/2023 17:00 Torino Inter Milan 1.31 0-0 0-3 £31.00 O SHG
Spain La Liga 21/10/2023 17:30 Sevilla Real Madrid 1.22 0-0 1-1 £22.00 OA/O SHG
France Ligue 1 21/10/2023 20:00 Nice Marseille 1.36 0-0 1-0 £36.00 OA SHG
Australia A-League 22/10/2023 09:45 Perth Glory Newcastle Jets 1.25 1-1 2-2 £25.00 OA/B O1.5
Australia A-League 22/10/2023 09:45 Perth Glory Newcastle Jets 1.24 1-1 2-2 £24.00 OA/B SHG
Italy Serie A 22/10/2023 11:30 Roma Monza 1.21 0-0 1-0 £21.00 OA/B/O SHG
France Ligue 1 22/10/2023 14:00 Lille Brest 1.32 1-0 1-0 -£100.00 O SHG
England Premier League 22/10/2023 16:30 Aston Villa West Ham 1.22 1-0 4-1 £22.00 OA/B/O O1.5
England Premier League 22/10/2023 16:30 Aston Villa West Ham 1.22 1-0 4-1 £22.00 OA/B/O SHG
Spain La Liga 22/10/2023 17:30 Villarreal Alaves 1.34 0-0 1-1 £34.00 OA/O SHG
France Ligue 1 22/10/2023 19:45 Lyon Clermont Foot 1.33 0-2 1-2 £33.00 OA/B/O O1.5
Spain La Liga 22/10/2023 20:00 Barcelona Athletic Bilbao 1.21 0-0 1-0 £21.00 OA/O SHG

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson should be a decent run