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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 104 Posters 67.9k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2861

    Against the clock again.

    Lay under 1.5 Bangkok Glass (Pathum)
    Lay under 1.5 Union Berlin

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    wrote on last edited by
    #2862

    This is based solely on my own experience of watching our games recently, but there is no way I can see Palace getting anything from today’s game. Liverpool are at 1.51 which is a 66% win chance (I think that’s right?). Considering our injuries, the fact this is our third game this week, and a real sense of a lack of confidence I would have had it more like 80-85%.

    Even the O1.5 is at 1.25. The only approach Palace really have is to keep it tight in the first half and try to nick something in the second. If I was to trade it I would wait and see how it starts, but if there’s defensive mistakes or uncertain passing I think it’ll be Liverpool’s day.

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2863

    SHG in the Carrick v Crusaders match. 0-1 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2864

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Just this lay under 1.5 for me this evening:

    af66ae62-b3f3-40fa-96aa-5c2c837fea4e-image.png

    That's 1-1 now

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2865

    Going for Larne to beat Glenavon tonight. 1.36

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2866

    Just this lay under 1.5 for me this evening:

    af66ae62-b3f3-40fa-96aa-5c2c837fea4e-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2867

    SHG Perth Glory v Melbourne City. 1-1 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2868

    Been quiet on here the last few weeks. I should be back to normality next Saturday.

    My daughter has been doing quiet a few shows and now is performing Christmas Carols at the Cathedral.

    I've been transporting her and my Protestant daughter has been dragging me to the carol services!

    Hopefully December is profitable so far?

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2869

    Hmmm not the easiest of nights .. goals came too late in Switzerland and at Villa.. it happens !!!

    LTD

    St Gallen vs Yverdon✅
    Celtic vs Hibs ✅

    01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Sheff Utd vs Liverpool✅
    Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy❌

    02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal

    Sheff Utd vs Liverpool✅
    Aston Vill vs Man City❌

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2870

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    For Wed though:

    6c16f012-5a49-422a-bda4-38f3fa7cd144-image.png

    Lay under 1.5

    2/2 and the good start to Dec continues

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2871

    A couple of trades tonight:

    LTD

    St Gallen vs Yverdon
    Celtic vs Hibs (if odds get decent)

    01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
    Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy

    02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal

    Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
    Aston Vill vs Man City

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    wrote on last edited by
    #2872

    The following are SHG candidates tonight:

    48c049e1-9afa-4475-87a2-e5f7b9b60776-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2873

    @Mark-Maguire ahahah true! They do love to miss that T out!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #2874

    @Ryan I think you'll find its pronounced Lu-un ...as in their famous chant "Com on Lu-un, Com on Lu-un" its a silent T 😊

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #2875

    I'll be gutted if Luton go down, they are actually a really good team!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2876

    For Wed though:

    6c16f012-5a49-422a-bda4-38f3fa7cd144-image.png

    Lay under 1.5

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2877

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow

    0-2 now, nothing tomorrow

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Tony Hastie on last edited by
    #2878

    @Tony-Hastie good question - depending on the strength of feeling I have about the trade really .. I calculate the per centage chance of 01.5 and of the result based on ELO ratings.

    I won't trade less than 1.2 to 1.3 based on the fact that for example on my o1.5 trades I have a SR of 90% then anything above 1.19 (the real odds of 90% probability when including the bookmakers round) is value - I will take this into account along with the probability of the 01.5 and team news, home or away favourite, league position etc. If I feel really strongly that there's an early goal I will lay under 1.5 for more liability in confidence I'll get a return .. hope that all makes sense?

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2879

    Yesterday was a day for arguing that the LTD should be either not S&F or should be green up after 89 mins.. I did but if anyone left it in there sorry about the late goals.. marked as a win and loss below.. otherwise from my point of view a really pleasing day across the board..

    LTD

    Fiorentina vs Salernitana✅
    Brondby vs Hvidovre✅
    Molde vs Ham Kam✅ but 90th minute equaliser ❌
    Man City vs Tottenham ✅ but 90th minute equaliser❌

    01.5 split out after 70 mins if no goal

    Braga vs Estoril✅
    Molde vs Ham Kam:✅
    Bodo vs Sarpsborg✅

    02.5 split out after 60 mins if no goal

    Nijmegen vs Ajax✅
    Viking vs Rosenborg✅
    Bodo vs Sarpsborg✅
    Leverkusen vs Dortmund ✅

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2880

    Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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