*****New Football Thread*****

Chris King

Nice green on the Palermo match and just missed out on the goal in the Fiorentina match reaching my stop loss first. Up overall though 1.12pts

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For tonight:

Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6

1/1 under lays
1/1 over lays

Decent green

Chris King

Going for SHG Fiorentina v Empoli 5 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 80% on BTC stats

Chris King

Going for SHG Palermo v Spezia 7 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 75% on BTC stats

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the OB v Midtjylland match. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

For tonight:

Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6

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@Martin r anybody else that can help. I'm keen to start using the football ratings data in a more sophisticated way than I currently am. up to now I have used it to verify my hunches or further filter set and forget strategies.

I'm aware that each rating gives weight to a certain outcome but I would really like to implement them in a more rounded / thorough way by combining them, perhaps in a spreadsheet that creates a predictive picture that helps highlight value / edges.

As an example, I have added columns to the data and have devised rudimentary calculations to help suggest each teams' goals based on their home/away offense/defense scores. I also figure out team's implied odds purely based on their elo ratings.

I guess what I'm asking is, can you point me to any decent online templates or know of any good resources that help combine all the raw data you provide?

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@Akiva-Anderson Great work! Are all of your trades pre match or inplay?

Akiva Anderson

Breakdown of my trades so far this month:

5 Away wins (4 wins, 1 loss) = £237

3 FHG (3 wins, O loss) = £84

7 Home Wins (6 wins, 1 loss) = £178

6 LCS (4 wins, 2 loss) = -£53

25 Over 1.5 Goals (23 wins, 2 loss) = £464

90 SHG (75 wins, 15 Loss) = £505

Akiva Anderson

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson This is you keeping records!!! who even are you!!

I know!! I've no excuse now. Found a bit of free time (usually just before bed), that I try and update.

October so far in numbers:

134 Trades
113 Wins
21 Losers

Ryan

@Akiva-Anderson This is you keeping records!!! who even are you!!

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson standard for you well done!

Akiva Anderson

Personally, I've had a good weekend of trading:

Australia A-League 20/10/2023 09:45 Adelaide United Central Coast 1.3 1-0 3-0 £30.00 OA/B FHG
Australia A-League 20/10/2023 09:45 Adelaide United Central Coast 1.21 1-0 3-0 £21.00 OA/B SHG
Japan J-League 20/10/2023 11:30 Urawa Kashiwa 1.35 0-0 2-0 £35.00 TV SHG
Denmark Superliga 20/10/2023 18:00 Hvidovre Silkeborg 1.31 1-1 1-2 £31.00 O O1.5
Denmark Superliga 20/10/2023 18:00 Hvidovre Silkeborg 1.23 1-1 1-2 £23.00 O SHG
Italy Serie B 20/10/2023 19:30 Parma Como 1.31 1-0 2-1 £31.00 O SHG
Northern Ireland Irish Premier League 20/10/2023 19:45 Larne Carrick Rangers 1.22 1-0 2-0 £22.00 OA/B O1.5
Spain La Liga 20/10/2023 20:00 Osasuna Granada 1.3 1-0 2-0 £30.00 O SHG
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 07:30 Melbourne City Western United 1.22 0-0 1-2 £22.00 OA/B/O O1.5
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 07:30 Melbourne City Western United 1.46 0-0 1-2 £46.00 OA/B/O LCS
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 09:45 Sydney FC Melbourne Victory 1.33 0-0 0-2 £33.00 OA O1.5
Australia A-League 21/10/2023 09:45 Sydney FC Melbourne Victory 1.22 0-0 0-2 £22.00 OA SHG
Spain La Liga 21/10/2023 13:00 Real Sociedad Mallorca 1.39 0-0 1-0 £39.00 OA/B/O SHG
Germany Bundesliga 21/10/2023 14:30 Freiburg Bochum 1.25 2-1 2-1 -£100.00 OA SHG
England Premier League 21/10/2023 15:00 Nottingham Forest Luton Town 1.35 0-0 2-2 £35.00 OA/O SHG
England Premier League 21/10/2023 15:00 Brentford Burnley 1.25 1-0 3-0 £25.00 OA SHG
Northern Ireland Irish Premier League 21/10/2023 15:00 Glentoran Glenavon 1.29 3-0 3-1 £29.00 OA/B/O HW
England Championship 21/10/2023 15:00 Hull City Southampton 1.24 1-1 1-2 £24.00 TV SHG
Italy Serie A 21/10/2023 17:00 Torino Inter Milan 1.31 0-0 0-3 £31.00 O SHG
Spain La Liga 21/10/2023 17:30 Sevilla Real Madrid 1.22 0-0 1-1 £22.00 OA/O SHG
France Ligue 1 21/10/2023 20:00 Nice Marseille 1.36 0-0 1-0 £36.00 OA SHG
Australia A-League 22/10/2023 09:45 Perth Glory Newcastle Jets 1.25 1-1 2-2 £25.00 OA/B O1.5
Australia A-League 22/10/2023 09:45 Perth Glory Newcastle Jets 1.24 1-1 2-2 £24.00 OA/B SHG
Italy Serie A 22/10/2023 11:30 Roma Monza 1.21 0-0 1-0 £21.00 OA/B/O SHG
France Ligue 1 22/10/2023 14:00 Lille Brest 1.32 1-0 1-0 -£100.00 O SHG
England Premier League 22/10/2023 16:30 Aston Villa West Ham 1.22 1-0 4-1 £22.00 OA/B/O O1.5
England Premier League 22/10/2023 16:30 Aston Villa West Ham 1.22 1-0 4-1 £22.00 OA/B/O SHG
Spain La Liga 22/10/2023 17:30 Villarreal Alaves 1.34 0-0 1-1 £34.00 OA/O SHG
France Ligue 1 22/10/2023 19:45 Lyon Clermont Foot 1.33 0-2 1-2 £33.00 OA/B/O O1.5
Spain La Liga 22/10/2023 20:00 Barcelona Athletic Bilbao 1.21 0-0 1-0 £21.00 OA/O SHG

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson should be a decent run

Akiva Anderson

Plenty of football on this week

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Lastly this. Another lay under 1.5:

Almost a perfect day. Only blemish in Romania.

Richard Latimer

Lastly this. Another lay under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

Laying Under 1.5 in these two:

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@Samo

30 goal attempts and 12 on goal

end of the game 0-0

some times it is just impossible to score.

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@Samo

Same trade if monaco is stil 0-1 behind at half time

i will be also looking to lay metz later in the game if monaco is hunting for a goal