*****New Football Thread*****

Alex Rule

Has the selections email gone out today? Cheers!

Fraser cord

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Also went for another goal in the Newcastle v Brighton match. 2-1 after 60 mins

SHG in the AZ v West Ham match. 0-0 at HT

Could you not say 90th min goal in both games @Akiva-Anderson, would save everyone backing early and could get significantly better odds

Akiva Anderson

Also went for another goal in the Newcastle v Brighton match. 2-1 after 60 mins

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the AZ v West Ham match. 0-0 at HT

Richard Latimer

@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Man City might finally win it! Mental how much they've spent to win this comp!

And how many financial fair play rules they have broken to get there! (115 if you wanted to know).........
Written by a bitter Arsenal fan

To be fair I was bitter about those cheating motherfuckers long before we had a chance to win the league haha!

Alex Rule

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Man City might finally win it! Mental how much they've spent to win this comp!

And how many financial fair play rules they have broken to get there! (115 if you wanted to know).........
Written by a bitter Arsenal fan

Ryan

Man City might finally win it! Mental how much they've spent to win this comp!

Alastair Todd

@Taff-Phillips said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd

https://strikeratecalculator.com/

If you want a shortcut to the Maths

Many thanks Taff, much appreciated.

Martin Walker

@Akiva-Anderson 14% increase on starting bank so decent month for halfway ish through.

Taff Phillips

@Alastair-Todd

https://strikeratecalculator.com/

If you want a shortcut to the Maths

Alastair Todd

@Terry-Heller said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%

So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21

Terry, you're a gentleman and a scholar, thank you! Glad to see that the average odds I'm taking are slightly above that so I can sleep sound at night.

Alastair Todd

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!

Hi Martin, now that it's out in the open it will probably take a dive
It's my 1.5 goal filter with a little bit of judicious caution depending on whether the teams still have anything to play for.
Bear in mind that I had 4 losses out of 5 matches at the beginning of this month though (mainly J-League).

Martin

@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake

Just checked on this as you do. 0-0
Laid @ 1.23

? Offline

@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%

So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21

Richard Latimer

Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake

Alastair Todd

Had a mental block - can anyone remind me what the equation is to work out what the minimum back odds are that I need with a filter strike rate of 83%?

At the moment I am pretty much taking them all, and some of them probably lower than value, but the upside is that early goals don't matter as the trade is matched from the start

Alastair Todd

@Akiva-Anderson 25 / 25 in a row on my filter. That'll be the kiss of death though, now that I've said it out loud!

Richard Latimer

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Anyone else having a great month?

I've fought my way back into profit after a pitiful last weekend.

james everard

@Richard-Latimer fair play if it's working that's good news mate.