*****New Football Thread*****
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Going for a SHG in the Consadole Sapporo vs Kyoto Sanga match. 1-1 after 50 minutes
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@Alastair-Todd that line about taking caution when teams have nothing to play for is music to my ears!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Also went for another goal in the Newcastle v Brighton match. 2-1 after 60 mins
SHG in the AZ v West Ham match. 0-0 at HT
Could you not say 90th min goal in both games @Akiva-Anderson, would save everyone backing early and could get significantly better odds
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Also went for another goal in the Newcastle v Brighton match. 2-1 after 60 mins
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SHG in the AZ v West Ham match. 0-0 at HT
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@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Man City might finally win it! Mental how much they've spent to win this comp!
And how many financial fair play rules they have broken to get there! (115 if you wanted to know).........
Written by a bitter Arsenal fan
To be fair I was bitter about those cheating motherfuckers long before we had a chance to win the league haha!
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@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Man City might finally win it! Mental how much they've spent to win this comp!
And how many financial fair play rules they have broken to get there! (115 if you wanted to know).........
Written by a bitter Arsenal fan -
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@Taff-Phillips said in *****New Football Thread*****:
https://strikeratecalculator.com/
If you want a shortcut to the Maths
Many thanks Taff, much appreciated.
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@Akiva-Anderson 14% increase on starting bank so decent month for halfway ish through.
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@Terry-Heller said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21
Terry, you're a gentleman and a scholar, thank you! Glad to see that the average odds I'm taking are slightly above that so I can sleep sound at night.
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!
Hi Martin, now that it's out in the open it will probably take a dive
It's my 1.5 goal filter with a little bit of judicious caution depending on whether the teams still have anything to play for.
Bear in mind that I had 4 losses out of 5 matches at the beginning of this month though (mainly J-League). -
@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake
Just checked on this as you do. 0-0
Laid @ 1.23 -
@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21
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Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Had a mental block - can anyone remind me what the equation is to work out what the minimum back odds are that I need with a filter strike rate of 83%?
At the moment I am pretty much taking them all, and some of them probably lower than value, but the upside is that early goals don't matter as the trade is matched from the start
