*****New Football Thread*****
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A few tonight and among my over 2.5 split stake will be : Out after 55 if no goal
Osijek vs Sibenik
FC Volendam vs Maastricht
Wolfsburg vs Kiel -
@Martin Yeh their league form isn’t great and probably the reason for the odds sticking to where they are. Still think their betfair odds aren’t reflective of their chances at 80s. B365 have them at 51. That feels more accurate.
Real Madrid at 7.2 looks decent as well. Not sure I’d have Arsenal as more likely to win the thing than Madrid but that’s what the odds are saying right now.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Surely United beat Rangers tonight?
I got united at 1.62. They were very lucky. United are actually awful. That rangers team are dire.
Seems to have got a lot worse after Ten Hag surprisingly!
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@Andy-Donnelly will be interesting for Milan because their league form is so poor that all they really have to play for is CL this year.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Surely United beat Rangers tonight?
I got united at 1.62. They were very lucky. United are actually awful. That rangers team are dire.
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Surely United beat Rangers tonight?
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Milan are killing me on the outrights markets on champs league. Backed them about 4 game weeks ago as saw their fixture list was relatively easy and thought top 8 was a real possibility. They have since done exactly as I expected and won all those games but the market has still gone against me. Not expecting them to win the thing, but was expecting their odds may drop to around 40ish at some point.
Thankfully Leverkusen and At Madrid trades have performed better
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@Akiva-Anderson same, i lost.... I should of traded out after Leaos goal
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@Akiva-Anderson i did this..... but traded out on the first goal
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I’ve went for over 1.5 goals in the AC Milan v Girona match.
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@Alastair-Todd said in *****New Football Thread*****:
At the other end of the spectrum, I was being ultra cautious at HT in an A-League game. It was 0-0 with only 4 goal attempts and no shots on goal at all. I took a small loss (rather than take a big one) only to see 4 goals go in in the second half!
I had over 1.5 goals in that match. The A-League does that quite regularly. I love that league
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At the other end of the spectrum, I was being ultra cautious at HT in an A-League game. It was 0-0 with only 4 goal attempts and no shots on goal at all. I took a small loss (rather than take a big one) only to see 4 goals go in in the second half!
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson the best ones aren't they!
I think so! I thought it was a losing trade, but when the goal went in I celebrated as if my team had won the league!
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@Akiva-Anderson the best ones aren't they!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Over 1.5 Goals:
19:45 - Peterborough v Exeter
The chances of over 1.5 goals being scored in the Peterborough United vs. Exeter City match tonight (January 21, 2025) are quite high. Historical data and statistical analyses suggest that this outcome is probable for several reasons:
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Historical Trends: Peterborough has scored at least 2 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches against Exeter across all competitions, indicating a strong likelihood of multiple goals when these teams meet.
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Statistical Odds: The probability of over 1.5 goals in this match is supported by betting markets and analysis, with odds heavily favoring this outcome. For example, one source lists over 1.5 goals as a highly likely outcome with odds of 17/100, reflecting a strong expectation of at least two goals being scored.
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Goal Scoring Patterns:
• Peterborough averages 2.05 goals per game this season, while Exeter averages 1.50 goals per game.
• Both teams have been involved in matches with more than 2.5 goals frequently this season—15 times for Peterborough and 13 times for Exeter. -
Predicted Scorelines: The most likely scoreline prediction for a Peterborough win is 2-1 (9.74% probability), which inherently supports the likelihood of over 1.5 goals being scored.
Given these factors, the chances of over 1.5 goals in tonight’s match are very high, making it a reasonable expectation based on historical performance, current form, and statistical probabilities.
injury time goal to make this a winner!
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
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Over 1.5 Goals:
19:45 - Peterborough v Exeter
The chances of over 1.5 goals being scored in the Peterborough United vs. Exeter City match tonight (January 21, 2025) are quite high. Historical data and statistical analyses suggest that this outcome is probable for several reasons:
1. Historical Trends: Peterborough has scored at least 2 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches against Exeter across all competitions, indicating a strong likelihood of multiple goals when these teams meet. 2. Statistical Odds: The probability of over 1.5 goals in this match is supported by betting markets and analysis, with odds heavily favoring this outcome. For example, one source lists over 1.5 goals as a highly likely outcome with odds of 17/100, reflecting a strong expectation of at least two goals being scored.-
Goal Scoring Patterns:
• Peterborough averages 2.05 goals per game this season, while Exeter averages 1.50 goals per game.
• Both teams have been involved in matches with more than 2.5 goals frequently this season—15 times for Peterborough and 13 times for Exeter. -
Predicted Scorelines: The most likely scoreline prediction for a Peterborough win is 2-1 (9.74% probability), which inherently supports the likelihood of over 1.5 goals being scored.
Given these factors, the chances of over 1.5 goals in tonight’s match are very high, making it a reasonable expectation based on historical performance, current form, and statistical probabilities.
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@Mark-Maguire I did not know that about Leeds, this stuff is fascinating to me. About to download the book soccernomics too.
That is amazing, to be fair I was actually the same with the NFL. I was not really doing anything on a Sunday evening, remember having a few of the games as a kid and then put it on. Loved it for a while they came over and I wanted to see it live.
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@Ryan agree regarding the big teams - this started years ago over radio rights Leeds were the first to exit the league deal and do their own.
Regarding Rugby the argument was it brought new audiences - they saw it on the streaming and wanted to sample the atmosphere which you can see working in football - part from at Man City’s “council house stadium “
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@Mark-Maguire I think this whole thing is fascinating, I would 100% see the issue with the fact that they top teams would be questioning this as well you think Liverpool and United for example they would be able to command a huge audience worldwide if they were allowed to sell their own stream.
I could then see City/Chelsea/Newcastle taking advantage of this, a shell company or a shell company buys X subscriptions to watch these teams which is basically just their owners using it a s vehicle to get money into the club and pump the revenues.
What was the reasoning why the crowds in Rugby grew with streaming? Be interesting to see that.
It's kinda already the wild west with the TV rights lol
