*****New Football Thread*****
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@Terry-Heller said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21
Terry, you're a gentleman and a scholar, thank you! Glad to see that the average odds I'm taking are slightly above that so I can sleep sound at night.
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!
Hi Martin, now that it's out in the open it will probably take a dive
It's my 1.5 goal filter with a little bit of judicious caution depending on whether the teams still have anything to play for.
Bear in mind that I had 4 losses out of 5 matches at the beginning of this month though (mainly J-League). -
@Alastair-Todd which market are you trading? 25 in a row is amazing!
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake
Just checked on this as you do. 0-0
Laid @ 1.23 -
@Alastair-Todd I use
Losing Rate + (losing Rate x 2/100)/(WR) +1
to allow for commission at 2%So 83% SR would need minimum odds 1.21
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Overnighter. Lay over 1.5 Real Salt Lake
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Had a mental block - can anyone remind me what the equation is to work out what the minimum back odds are that I need with a filter strike rate of 83%?
At the moment I am pretty much taking them all, and some of them probably lower than value, but the upside is that early goals don't matter as the trade is matched from the start
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@Akiva-Anderson 25 / 25 in a row on my filter. That'll be the kiss of death though, now that I've said it out loud!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Anyone else having a great month?
I've fought my way back into profit after a pitiful last weekend.
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@Richard-Latimer fair play if it's working that's good news mate.
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Anyone else having a great month?
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you donât get a win unless you play in the game... -
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Machida Zelvia vs Renofa Yamaguchi match. 1-0 at HT
2-0
Hate the way these lower league teams have a running track around the pitch!
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SHG in the Machida Zelvia vs Renofa Yamaguchi match. 1-0 at HT
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@Martin-Walker said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson pretty close to my list aswell. I dont do brazil and mexico though. Id add turkey
Canât be I left out the Israeli Premier League. Itâs my favourite for obvious reasons!
âIf I forget thee Jerusalem, let my right hand forget its dexterityâ!
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@Akiva-Anderson pretty close to my list aswell. I dont do brazil and mexico though. Id add turkey
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Just the one for tomorrow and it's an under lay in Norway.
Lay Under 1.5 Lillestrom.
0-2 and I'm done for the day
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Games that I think will go Over 1.5 Goals today:
17:00 - VĂĽlerenga vs HamKam
17:00 - Brann vs StabĂŚk
17:00 - Lillestrøm vs Sarpsborg 08@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Lillestrom v Sarpsborg match. 0-0 at HT
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Lillestrom v Sarpsborg match. 0-0 at HT
That was quick! Gooing in again at 0-1 after 48 minutes
5/5. Three from the on match! Love it when that happens!
No need to trade the rest of the night. Perfect!
Layla tov!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
SHG in the Lillestrom v Sarpsborg match. 0-0 at HT
That was quick! Gooing in again at 0-1 after 48 minutes
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SHG in the Lillestrom v Sarpsborg match. 0-0 at HT
