*****New Football Thread*****

Greg Mitchell

Quite a good day yesterday, 5 pts profit

Martin

@Mark-Maguire you are smashing it a new one!

Richard Latimer

Can't avoid a losing weekend now but will be just over 1pt if this comes in. My only trade for Sunday. Lay under 1.5:

Mark Maguire

@Trevor-H I'm still very much learning this and have my horrible moments too.. I often over think which is why I bang on about my stats stuff because that helps me personally narrow things down.. there are professionals/more established traders on here who don't need that and I think its important to get to a point of confidence in what works for you personally - different people will succeed in trading in very different ways. Personally I post what I do on here to hold myself accountable and then on the occasion that I go and trade something stupid out of boredom or restlessness I give myself a proper telling off

Mark Maguire

All greens for me on these today - pleased with discipline with exception of the free bet I left in on Leipzig (thought they'd score but I suppose 50p green is still green.

LTD

Darmstadt vs Dortmund
PSV vs Excelsior
Monza vs inter

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Leipzig vs Frankfurt Strictly a tiny green- cashed out to free bet
Newry vs Cliftonville
TNS vs Newtown
PSV vs Excelsior

02.5 split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

Blackpool vs Exeter
Tranmere vs MK Dons
TNS vs Newtown
Raith vs Queens Park
PSV vs Excelsior

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Things not going great in Leverkusen.

Adding these 2 final ones to the mix for lay under 1.5:

Just the one loss so 3/4 and a little more than a 2pt loss (£19)

Richard Latimer

Things not going great in Leverkusen.

Adding these 2 final ones to the mix for lay under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

Couple more to look at but start with these:

Lay under 1.5 Augsburg
Lay under 1.5 Queen of the South

Trevor H

@Mark-Maguire You're good at this, arent you? Thanks for the insight.

Mark Maguire

@Trevor-H the way I traded Dordtrecht was that I greened to a free bet after the very early goal, then based on action dripped a bit more in - I would have exited on 70 mins if no second goal, but as it was took decent green with the second goal on 57 mins.

For the Hull game I actually just took the green on 36 mins but admit I had a little dabble later on because I expected another goal but consider that a separate trade (which happily was green - albeit very late)

For Bayern - I greened to free bet and then added more at 60 mins because I felt sure Bayern would score again. Then further green to free bet and Harry Kane rewarded me late on.

Mark Maguire

Usual challenge on a Saturday is narrowing selections down, interesting today on my LTD picks that's taken longer than usual as I am concerned about a couple...

For example Bolton vs Cheltenham a week or two back would be easy based on stats but with Bolton's FA Cup involvement and Cheltenham picking up a few results under their new manager its one to keep an eye on rather than dive in to for me - likewise Napoli vs Salernitana .. Nap seem to be finding new ways to lose this season .. Leverkusen first game back away at Augsburg .. so I have spent time talking myself out of trades

Anyway of those that remain:

LTD

Darmstadt vs Dortmund
PSV vs Excelsior (only if odds come in - this game is on all filters)
Monza vs inter

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Leipzig vs Frankfurt
Newry vs Cliftonville
TNS vs Newtown (may wait for odds)
PSV vs Excelsior (may wait for odds)

02.5 split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

Blackpool vs Exeter
Tranmere vs MK Dons
TNS vs Newtown
Raith vs Queens Park
PSV vs Excelsior

Trevor H

@Mark-Maguire said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Full house for me tonight .. to be enjoyed when they happen

LTD

Bayern vs Hoffenheim

01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Bayern vs Hoffenheim

O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

Bayern vs Hoffenheim
Dordrecht vs Helmond
Hull vs Norwich

Well done @Mark-Maguire. I'm following with interest. So I guess you greened up when Dordrecht scored but hung on when it stayed 1-0 at Hull and Bayern? I find that picking the right exit point is one of the hardest things to get right. (Sometimes entry too: not sure what the Bayern LTD came down to, but it was certainly higher than I'd have felt comfortable with when the goal went in.)

Greg Mitchell

Well, I need to stop myself messing about with calculations, statistics, formulas etc etc, so I'm gonna see if posting my selections on here helps with my formula OCD.. Maybe it will, maybe it won't, only one way to find out:

So here goes, todays selections:

Martin

@Mark-Maguire a common theme well done mate!

Martin

@Mark-Maguire a common theme well done mate!

Mark Maguire

Full house for me tonight .. to be enjoyed when they happen

LTD

Bayern vs Hoffenheim

01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Bayern vs Hoffenheim

O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

Bayern vs Hoffenheim
Dordrecht vs Helmond
Hull vs Norwich

Mark Maguire

A couple tonight:

Bayern's game appears on all the filters but LTD odds likely to be prohibitive unless there is a slow start - currently researching what their first game back performances are like historically after a winter break to see if there is anything to worry about in that regard.

LTD

Bayern vs Hoffenheim (if odds are anywhere decent)

01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Bayern vs Hoffenheim

O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

Bayern vs Hoffenheim
Dordrecht vs Helmond
Hull vs Norwich

Ryan

@Martin Mark always finds them!

Martin

@Mark-Maguire finding some diamonds in the rough!

Mark Maguire

Nice when they are straight forward ... rare enough but nice

01.5 Split Stake Out after 70 mins if no goal

Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor
Chesterfield vs Gateshead

02.5 Split Stake Out after 60 mins if no goal

Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor