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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 104 Posters 68.0k Views
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  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by Greg Mitchell
    #2641

    Quite a good day yesterday, 5 pts profit

    d1a0038d-0789-4659-8d88-1d8b533efa8f-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    7
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2642

    @Mark-Maguire you are smashing it a new one!

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2643

    Can't avoid a losing weekend now but will be just over 1pt if this comes in. My only trade for Sunday. Lay under 1.5:

    f33747e0-4ea5-4c1e-a7e7-ceeec5fc5282-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Trevor H on last edited by
    #2644

    @Trevor-H I'm still very much learning this and have my horrible moments too.. I often over think which is why I bang on about my stats stuff because that helps me personally narrow things down.. there are professionals/more established traders on here who don't need that and I think its important to get to a point of confidence in what works for you personally - different people will succeed in trading in very different ways. Personally I post what I do on here to hold myself accountable and then on the occasion that I go and trade something stupid out of boredom or restlessness I give myself a proper telling off 😣

    1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2645

    All greens for me on these today - pleased with discipline with exception of the free bet I left in on Leipzig (thought they'd score but I suppose 50p green is still green.

    LTD

    Darmstadt vs Dortmund✅
    PSV vs Excelsior ✅
    Monza vs inter✅

    01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Leipzig vs Frankfurt✅ Strictly a tiny green- cashed out to free bet
    Newry vs Cliftonville✅
    TNS vs Newtown✅
    PSV vs Excelsior✅

    02.5 split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

    Blackpool vs Exeter✅
    Tranmere vs MK Dons✅
    TNS vs Newtown✅
    Raith vs Queens Park✅
    PSV vs Excelsior✅

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    5
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2646

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Things not going great in Leverkusen.

    Adding these 2 final ones to the mix for lay under 1.5:

    848a2ffb-8d2a-44ac-9a15-8c5f8607517e-image.png

    Just the one loss so 3/4 and a little more than a 2pt loss (£19)

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2647

    Things not going great in Leverkusen.

    Adding these 2 final ones to the mix for lay under 1.5:

    848a2ffb-8d2a-44ac-9a15-8c5f8607517e-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2648

    Couple more to look at but start with these:

    Lay under 1.5 Augsburg
    Lay under 1.5 Queen of the South

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Trevor H
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2649

    @Mark-Maguire You're good at this, arent you? 😆 Thanks for the insight.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Trevor H on last edited by
    #2650

    @Trevor-H the way I traded Dordtrecht was that I greened to a free bet after the very early goal, then based on action dripped a bit more in - I would have exited on 70 mins if no second goal, but as it was took decent green with the second goal on 57 mins.

    For the Hull game I actually just took the green on 36 mins but admit I had a little dabble later on because I expected another goal but consider that a separate trade (which happily was green - albeit very late)

    For Bayern - I greened to free bet and then added more at 60 mins because I felt sure Bayern would score again. Then further green to free bet and Harry Kane rewarded me late on.

    T 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2651

    Usual challenge on a Saturday is narrowing selections down, interesting today on my LTD picks that's taken longer than usual as I am concerned about a couple...

    For example Bolton vs Cheltenham a week or two back would be easy based on stats but with Bolton's FA Cup involvement and Cheltenham picking up a few results under their new manager its one to keep an eye on rather than dive in to for me - likewise Napoli vs Salernitana .. Nap seem to be finding new ways to lose this season .. Leverkusen first game back away at Augsburg .. so I have spent time talking myself out of trades 🤦

    Anyway of those that remain:

    LTD

    Darmstadt vs Dortmund
    PSV vs Excelsior (only if odds come in - this game is on all filters)
    Monza vs inter

    01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Leipzig vs Frankfurt
    Newry vs Cliftonville
    TNS vs Newtown (may wait for odds)
    PSV vs Excelsior (may wait for odds)

    02.5 split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

    Blackpool vs Exeter
    Tranmere vs MK Dons
    TNS vs Newtown
    Raith vs Queens Park
    PSV vs Excelsior

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Trevor H
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2652

    @Mark-Maguire said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Full house for me tonight .. to be enjoyed when they happen

    LTD

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim ✅

    01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim✅

    O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim✅
    Dordrecht vs Helmond✅
    Hull vs Norwich✅

    Well done @Mark-Maguire. I'm following with interest. So I guess you greened up when Dordrecht scored but hung on when it stayed 1-0 at Hull and Bayern? I find that picking the right exit point is one of the hardest things to get right. (Sometimes entry too: not sure what the Bayern LTD came down to, but it was certainly higher than I'd have felt comfortable with when the goal went in.)

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2653

    Well, I need to stop myself messing about with calculations, statistics, formulas etc etc, so I'm gonna see if posting my selections on here helps with my formula OCD.. Maybe it will, maybe it won't, only one way to find out:

    So here goes, todays selections:

    a2bcf350-4f13-4069-a3e2-581d78f53e63-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2654

    @Mark-Maguire a common theme well done mate!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2655

    @Mark-Maguire a common theme well done mate!

    1 Reply Last reply
    🙏
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2656

    Full house for me tonight .. to be enjoyed when they happen

    LTD

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim ✅

    01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim✅

    O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim✅
    Dordrecht vs Helmond✅
    Hull vs Norwich✅

    MartinM T 3 Replies Last reply
    5
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2657

    A couple tonight:

    Bayern's game appears on all the filters but LTD odds likely to be prohibitive unless there is a slow start - currently researching what their first game back performances are like historically after a winter break to see if there is anything to worry about in that regard.

    LTD

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim (if odds are anywhere decent)

    01.5 Split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim

    O2.5 Split stake out after 60 mins if no goal

    Bayern vs Hoffenheim
    Dordrecht vs Helmond
    Hull vs Norwich

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2658

    @Martin Mark always finds them!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #2659

    @Mark-Maguire finding some diamonds in the rough!

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2660

    Nice when they are straight forward ... rare enough but nice

    01.5 Split Stake Out after 70 mins if no goal

    Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor✅
    Chesterfield vs Gateshead✅

    02.5 Split Stake Out after 60 mins if no goal

    Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor✅

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    4

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