*****New Football Thread*****
-
@Mr-Emmet-Moorehouse Martin's SHG from 0-0 at HT has been a mainstay of my trading for the last couple of months and I have almost doubled my bank with it. You're right though, it can get a bit frantic at 1545 when there are plenty of 0-0s to go through.
-
These are on my SHG filter for tonight:
Wales Premier League 19:45- Colwyn Bay V Connahs Q.
England Championship 20:00- Ipswich V MillwallAs always, the in play stats determine where I am in or not.
I have another one I have been testing where if it is 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 at HT, it is another SHG candidate. This one is very new so I am really just testing it in smaller stakes:
Again the in play stats are key.
EDIT: It would be rude not to say that I partially pilfered this idea from Martin too. Remember his video where he scans the 0-0s at HT? The modification is that (1) I have extended it to 1-0 and 0-1 and (2) I have used a filter to determine the selections in advance, and then I only need to scan those at HT, which might make things easier at 345pm on a Saturday.
-
Not much tonight on the filters:
LTD
Sheff Wed vs Leicester
01.5 and possibly 02.5
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay (but cautious staking because of the level)
-
@Mark-Girling Nice, how have you been getting on?
-
@Ryan thanks.. yes I've been banking about a minute after goal...
-
@Mark-Girling its pretty much cashing out buddy. You are taking out your cash from the market and locking in your profit.
If you have backed first to open your trade then you will be laying, if you have placed a lay to open your trade you'll be backing to close your trades.
I prefer trading out. Because that's easier for everybody and covers all basis!
-
Novice here...
Can someone please explain what... Greening Up or Green Up mean please...
I've researched and it's conflicting.
Some say cash out and some say Lay the rest of stake...Thanks in advance
-
Not a bad night's work
if only they all went this smoothly.O1.5G
Concarneau v Pau
️
Watford v Norwich️Lay away
Barrow v Wasall️
Notts County v Crawley️Thought about maybe doing O2.5 or O3.5 goals for the Watford game but played it safe as was happy with what I had already made.
-
@Mark-Maguire Great discipline and good reading of when to exit the trades well done
-
@Mr-Emmet-Moorehouse yes started quickly and then calmed down later. I like to be in and out so suited me
-
@Mark-Maguire said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Very pleased with tonight - extracting max return from the two winning trades and limiting to minimal loss the losing one, in addition rejected a LTD trade based on pre match information and it ended 2-2 (Mansfield vs Tranmere) nice when that happens. Nothing spectacular but feels like my decision making is in the right place.
01.5
Notts County vs Crawley
02.5 Split Stake ..
Notts County vs Crawley
Barnsley vs Wycombe
Watford vs NorwichDid tonight's action feel sort of frantic and fast paced to you? My 1.5Gs were basically over after 20 minutes. That being said, I had quite a wait on my SHG in Barnsley.
-
Very pleased with tonight - extracting max return from the two winning trades and limiting to minimal loss the losing one, in addition rejected a LTD trade based on pre match information and it ended 2-2 (Mansfield vs Tranmere) nice when that happens. Nothing spectacular but feels like my decision making is in the right place.
01.5
Notts County vs Crawley
02.5 Split Stake ..
Notts County vs Crawley
Barnsley vs Wycombe
Watford vs Norwich -
Update .. take green after third goal at Watford.
Won't enter any more in Barnsley until after half time now ..
-
Lots happening quickly tonight but after early goals Notts and Watford games greened to free bet then added second drip stake then after second goals greened to free bet as well as small part of the profit on 03.5 markets which is sat there and will green up on third goal.
Slow pace in Barnsley game so currently limiting any further involvement unless stats liven up
-
@Mark-Maguire thankyou... thats opened my eyes.. well done
-
@Mark-Maguire Yes, I see, but go in at KO on the O2.5. That makes sense; thanks for clarifying.
-
@Trevor-H I think in my ramble last night I said I was more flexible - really its as case of going in on the 01.5 after a few mins when the price has raised a tick or tow and then if in play stats are strong adding more. Out after 70 mins regardless.
If the goal is early enough I will green to a free bet.
-
Hello, has anyone here successfully created a match Xg model based on teams recent results, say the last 10 matches or the current season? Or does anyone know where this information might be available for most fixtures? Thanks, Nick
-
@Mark-Maguire said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Trevor-H similar but slightly different staking. My approach is to treat them as different trades and judge them on the merit of the individual stats for that filter .. maybe unconventional on my part but I will trade more than one market in a game if the stats stack up ..
Oh, sorry, I thought they were both 25% in, out and back in +25% at 15, another 25% if 3 SoT at 35 and the rest at 45 if +1 SoT. Even so, if you're coming out after the first goal in either market, do you find there's much difference between the two in the offered green when the first goal is scored vis-a-vis RoI? Perhaps it depends on the goal time (although, of course, the earlier the goal, the less you have staked).
