*****New Football Thread*****
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@nick One of the things I always checked in the stats was this, I didn't have it in the filters what I would do is get the shortlisted games for that day then use the 'streaks' section with the Home / Away setting.
This then gave me a good look at what was happening. It was one of the manual checks I made.
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@Akiva-Anderson Yeh lol but it's great because it give Ten Haag a little longer to have everybody believe he's the man for the job, which I think he is I love his philosophy of replacing good players with terrible ones (the GK!).
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I was watching the Fulham Man Utd game saturday lunchtime(and before someone says it I know I/m a glutton for punishment) as the game progressed the BT commentator said that United are on a 24 game stretch without a draw.
This made me wonder about strategies.
I know many people on here play a LTD strategy and I cant recall seeing United coming up as a pick anywhere or even looking at my own, admittedly I am very new to this at the moment.
What I was thinking is what sort of strategy criteria would you need to put in to get teams like united come up as LTD picks, it obviously cant be as simple as putting in a 100% not to of had a draw over the last 10 games or so?
Mind you there is always the other side of the coin a bit like the roulette wheel where black has come in 20 times put your money on red because it is due.
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@Scott-Higgins it depends on the game and the odds and my strength of feeling/confidence in the trade - also the league, my stats are for example Portugal and Swedish matches can be slow starters so I'm relaxed about waiting twenty mins to get involved and if I miss out I miss out. I've sometimes looked at the Double Chance to back early on Home or Away - odds low and you can't green up, but an option for a sure thing. I won't risk a crazy amount of my bank on LTD but the strike rate gives me enough confidence to trade it as early as odds become semi reasonable
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@Mark-Maguire are you laying the draw at kick off? If so assuming some big odds?
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Lay over 1.5 in Serbia and lay under 1.5 in Denmark up to price of 6.8
If between 7.0-9.6 lay under 2.5 -
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay under 1.5:
First loss on the under lays today.
Lay under 1.5 Blooming (Bolivia)
1-1 which means another Β£25 day
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay under 1.5:
First loss on the under lays today.
Lay under 1.5 Blooming (Bolivia)
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Overall decent day let down by the Mickey mousers
LTD
Note as per yesterday if underdog one goal up in last five mins I tend to take green .. glad I did on a Swedish game here..
Ajax vs Heerenveen
Elfsborg vs Degerfors Green before late late equaliser
Sporting vs Estrela01.5 split stake out after 70 mins
Luton vs Liverpool
Kecsemeti vs FerencvΓ‘ros
Ajax vs Heerenveen02.5 Split stake out after 60 mins
Zilina vs Podbrezova
Jonkopinbg vs GAIS -
Lay under 1.5:
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8/lay under 2.5 7.0-9.6:
2/2 there
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Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8/lay under 2.5 7.0-9.6:
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The french have given me a kicking today with two matches with a total of 1 goal between them which put paid to my o1.5 trades. It was going so well. Grrrr!
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay under 1.5 Parnu (Estonia)
Lay over 1.5 St. LiegeSo close to a nice payoff in Belgium. Oh well, day is going well still.
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Lay under 1.5 Rosenborg
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Lay under 1.5 Parnu (Estonia)
Lay over 1.5 St. Liege -
Lay under 1.5 Wolfsburg
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@Mark-Maguire I'm very good thanks. Cheers for the update. I think I'll add it into my strats I'm currently testing and see how it goes with very small stakes. Cheers!
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Is anyone currently trading/tracking Tomaz under 1.5 lays?
Keen to hear how people are finding it if they are!
my results are here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qisAtUpuQ0VqddUJ5VypUKHj4J02wHJI4ENtPR1gPNA/edit#gid=361187611
Looks like it's doing pretty well then atm and recovered a fair bit from the slump earlier in the year? Glad it seems to be doing OK - I think I'll start to track it as well with small stakes and see what it does in the near future.