*****New Football Thread*****
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SHG in the Celtic v Atletico Madrid match. 2-1 at HT
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Shite night for me
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SHG in the Leicester v Sunderland match. 1-0 at HT
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SHG in the Cambridge v Portsmouth match. 0-0 at HT
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Just the one for me tonight. Lay under 1.5:
That was quick
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SHG in the Inter v Salzburg match. 1-0 at HT
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Just the one for me tonight. Lay under 1.5:
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I love that there is often football on early evenings 5:30pm / 6:00pm.
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@Jonathan-West there was a thread recently about spreadsheet templates, not sure if that would help but here it is: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4541/does-anyone-know-of-a-good-sports-tracker-betting-apps-or-tracker-spreadsheets-to-put-my-trading-data?_=1698125756106
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Nice green on the Palermo match and just missed out on the goal in the Fiorentina match reaching my stop loss first. Up overall though 1.12pts
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
For tonight:
Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.61/1 under lays
1/1 over laysDecent green
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Going for SHG Fiorentina v Empoli 5 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 80% on BTC stats
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Going for SHG Palermo v Spezia 7 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 75% on BTC stats
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SHG in the OB v Midtjylland match. 1-1 at HT
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For tonight:
Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6 -
@Martin r anybody else that can help. I'm keen to start using the football ratings data in a more sophisticated way than I currently am. up to now I have used it to verify my hunches or further filter set and forget strategies.
I'm aware that each rating gives weight to a certain outcome but I would really like to implement them in a more rounded / thorough way by combining them, perhaps in a spreadsheet that creates a predictive picture that helps highlight value / edges.
As an example, I have added columns to the data and have devised rudimentary calculations to help suggest each teams' goals based on their home/away offense/defense scores. I also figure out team's implied odds purely based on their elo ratings.
I guess what I'm asking is, can you point me to any decent online templates or know of any good resources that help combine all the raw data you provide?
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@Akiva-Anderson Great work! Are all of your trades pre match or inplay?
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Breakdown of my trades so far this month:
5 Away wins (4 wins, 1 loss) = £237
3 FHG (3 wins, O loss) = £84
7 Home Wins (6 wins, 1 loss) = £178
6 LCS (4 wins, 2 loss) = -£53
25 Over 1.5 Goals (23 wins, 2 loss) = £464
90 SHG (75 wins, 15 Loss) = £505
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@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson This is you keeping records!!! who even are you!!
I know!! I've no excuse now. Found a bit of free time (usually just before bed), that I try and update.
October so far in numbers:
134 Trades
113 Wins
21 Losers -
@Akiva-Anderson This is you keeping records!!! who even are you!!