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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 104 Posters 68.0k Views
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  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2621

    @Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Stephen-Hancox he was once the best manager in the world, I think that he is a busted flush now, may win the odd trophy, I would argue the last major trophy he won was the 14/15 premier league nearly a decade ago. Probably tactically more than anything, don't think his style is effective in the modern game.

    and Mourinho sacked ๐Ÿ˜„

    Ha ha I had a feeling this morning that you might mention this. Left after 2.5 years after reaching 2 European finals and winning 1 of them.

    I heard he'd said last month that he has nowhere left to prove anything apart from Germany so has been orchestrating this scenario it seems. Where does he go now? Germany? Surely not England again. Or perhaps time for international management?

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Arran Shackell on last edited by Greg Mitchell
    #2622

    @Arran-Shackell Its a little difficult for me to just give you the criteria, I have probably over complicated it, but its how I roll.

    Basically, this is how I work:

    I have 51 different mini-strategies in the BTC software which are a mixture of the presets, ones that have been discussed/published on here, some from other websites etc etc.

    I also have 6 mini strategies based on calculations on the BTC Football Ratings.

    I allocate each of these mini-strategies to one of my main strategies, so for example, My FHG strategy has a total of 20 mini-strategies allocated to it.

    Then each day I download all the mini-strategy selections allocating each to a main strategy, so for example on my list for today Oldham v Boreham Wood has 5 mini FHG strategies. For me to consider any mini strategy selection, the match must have at least 3 mini strategies before it gets allocated to a main strategy.

    I then look at the average historical strike rate for the 5 mini-strategies and also the historical strike rate for all 5 as a combination. I also include a historical league strike rate for my Main Strategies regardless of whether the games have been picked up by a mini strategy. So for example, the Strike Rate for FHG in all National League Matches which have been picked up by at least 1 of the mini strategies since I started recording is 86%.

    If all three strike rates meet my minimum % then its a selection.

    That all sounds very complicated, but I have it all set up on Excel, just download the Software Selections and Football Ratings every morning, paste them into my spreadsheet and a quick check that everything makes sense and away we go. An absolute maximum of 30 minutes every day.

    Hope that makes sense?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Arran Shackell
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by Arran Shackell
    #2623

    @Greg-Mitchell

    Hi Greg. Iโ€™d be interested to know the criteria for the FHG if youโ€™re willing to share please?

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2624

    @Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Stephen-Hancox he was once the best manager in the world, I think that he is a busted flush now, may win the odd trophy, I would argue the last major trophy he won was the 14/15 premier league nearly a decade ago. Probably tactically more than anything, don't think his style is effective in the modern game.

    and Mourinho sacked ๐Ÿ˜„

    Stephen HancoxS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2625

    Tentative Selections today:

    373b2446-7f8a-469f-8474-ffeb483b2920-image.png

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    wrote on last edited by
    #2626

    Of all my real trade and paper trade strategies I've been doing the last 3 months I've noticed that December was awful on results, i know its only 3 months of my own testing but every strategy was down, results were all over the place, November and, so far January, are all how I wanted to see my filter results, is this just a coincidence on all the strategies I'm doing/testing or has anyone else noticed this with theirs.
    Long term traders, have you noticed, looking at your data, are certain months rubbish for your strategies, just wanting to know for future knowledge as so to avoid or lessen my trades for them months.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2627

    Full house yesterday.

    540fd2ae-3379-472c-8825-52bb57b895d3-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2628

    @Akiva-Anderson I use notes on Iphone, surely there must be free apps out there?

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2629

    Anyone else here use 'Evernote'? I think @Ryan used to. I used the free version for trading, now it is restricted and they're looking ยฃ6.50 a month!

    Suppose I can't complain. I had it free for a few years.

    This week I've just started using 'word' and save it to the cloud.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you donโ€™t get a win unless you play in the game...

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2630

    @Akiva-Anderson Always the way isn't it...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2631

    @Akiva-Anderson Afcon, great opportunity for Laying the Overs...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #2632

    @Akiva-Anderson agree Afcon awful - and I remember last year is was all nil nil and one one .. add to which its probably the most likely to etc ..be open to , ahem "influence" of ref decisions ..

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2633

    Anyone been watching the Asian Cup or the African Cup of Nations?

    Been watching the Asian Cup, quality isn't great, but pleasantly surprised. The African Cup of Nations is horrendous. For the quality of players on show, it really is poor.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you donโ€™t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M Greg MitchellG 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #2634

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Not the best day yesterday:

    45ee3f87-c1ec-4717-b96b-6756feda879f-image.png

    I hate days like these. I had a poor day yesterday too. I should've known it was going to be bad, because I upped the stakes!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you donโ€™t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2635

    Here's an interesting one for folks to consider reading an article re the impact of Afcon:

    https://onefootball.com/en/news/how-the-africa-cup-of-nations-could-affect-europes-top-five-leagues-38790664

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #2636

    So almost inevitably with me in celebratory mood - a couple of trades give me a kick up the arse , but as this is about accountability I can't hide from them.. very angry with myself about Girona game, all the signs were there and I also traded it badly in play which I can only describe as a deviation from my discipline and the danger of over confidence.. so last night I had a proper word with myself and revisited that one...

    LTD

    Lille vs Lorientโœ…
    Parma vs AscoliโŒ
    Feyenoord vs Nijmegenโœ… โŒ got out at 2 nil

    01.5 Split Stake out after 70 if no goal (green up on a goal - to free bet if its in first 30 mins)

    Almeria vs GironaโŒ
    Feyenoord vs Nijmegenโœ…

    02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal (green up after goal, to free bet if its in first 30 mins then out on second goal)

    Feyenoord vs Nijmegenโœ…
    Man Utd vs Tottenhamโœ…
    Almeria vs GironaโŒ
    Moenchengladbach vs Stuttgart โœ…

    1 Reply Last reply
    5
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2637

    Todays picks:

    ed04a475-b8b8-491b-930e-19310873e790-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2638

    Not the best day yesterday:

    45ee3f87-c1ec-4717-b96b-6756feda879f-image.png

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2639

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Can't avoid a losing weekend now but will be just over 1pt if this comes in. My only trade for Sunday. Lay under 1.5:

    f33747e0-4ea5-4c1e-a7e7-ceeec5fc5282-image.png

    2-0 already

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    wrote on last edited by
    #2640

    Bit of a shocker today with 4 out of 5 set and forget trades going south. You never quite know where you are with the Turkish football - sometimes you get 5 or 6 goals, and other times (like today) you get 27 goal attempts and 8 shots on goal and the score ends 0-0. Didn't help that I put on a SHG trade on that match as well - double whammy. Having said that it's swings and roundabouts, as yesterday was a good day so I suppose it just about evens itself out. Hope everyone else had a better day today. We go again tomorrow.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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