*****New Football Thread*****

Mark Maguire

A lot today - so its about narrowing them down.

Amongst them will be

LTD
Glentoran vs C Rangers
Lech Poznan vs Ruch
Braga vs Portiminese
Wattens vs Salzburg

01.5

Split stake, out after 70 mins if no goal

Saelrnitana vs Napoli
Glentoran vs C Rangers
Heracles vs PSV
Wattens vs Salzburg
Waalwjik vs Feyenoord

02.5

Split stake, out after 60 mins if no goal

Plymouth vs Boro
Tigres vs AT San luis
Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen

Mark Maguire

@Arran-Shackell its sort of set and forget because I do monitor in play and exit with a few minutes to go if underdog winning one nil or its end to end. But its a filter that I monitored for over a year and recorded set and forget versus greening up//exiting at 70 and the stats took me to S&F

Mr. Emmet Moorehouse

@Akiva-Anderson Still, calling themselves Fancy Glentoran is just rubbing it in.

Akiva Anderson

Fancy Glentoran to beat Carrick Rangers today at 1.33.

Full-Time team v Part-Time team

Akiva Anderson

FHG in the Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United match. Just kicked-off

Arran Shackell

@Mark-Maguire

A S&F LTD - not seen that one mentioned on here before or have I just not been lurking for long enough?

Mark Maguire

o2.5 Split stake

Venlo vs Jong AZ

Will also monitor in play Utsikten vs Gefle for an 02.5 trade if it starts with decent stats had a dabble but out quickly

LTD

These seem obvious and will need odds to become value

Paris SG vs Montpellier
Porto vs Estoril albeit shock winner in Estoril
Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

01.5

PSG will also be an 01.5

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just this tomorrow:

Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

Under 1.5 was 9.4 to lay so took under 2.5 @ 3.5 (matched first few mins)

Currently 3-0

Mark Maguire

Quiet day again today:

o2.5 Split stake

Venlo vs Jong AZ (out after 60 mins if no goal)

Will also monitor in play Utsikten vs Gefle for an 02.5 trade if it starts with decent stats.

LTD

These seem obvious and will need odds to become value

Paris SG vs Montpellier
Porto vs Estoril
Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

Warning my LTD Set and Forget are currently on nineteen games green so I'm expecting a red soon. .. sods law it will be when start posting here.

01.5

PSG will also be an 01.5 but again odds will be poor.

Richard Latimer

Just this tomorrow:

Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

These 2 for tomorrow:

Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8
Lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

Last game postponed for some reason so just the one trade and one win today.

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Does anyone on here use Footy Amigo? im sure i read some time ago that a member was using it. it looks brilliant from what they say they can do they msg you with your set critea like how many shots corners etc in a game pre match and inplay stats. It would save me so much time on weekends i have sometimes over 10 games open at once can be really hard to keep track!

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@Mark-Maguire yea your not wrong!! you can see why they are struggling they need some quality up front to convert the chances they create.

Mark Maguire

@Toni-0 to be fair if Ajax had more composure in front of goal it could have been 8-2

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@Mark-Maguire well played i was gonna back over 0.5 goals after about 55 minutes in Ajax game was sure it wouldnt stay 0-0 the way the game was going but the odds were a bit skinny

Mark Maguire

Just a couple today with caveats:

LTD

Mumbai vs Minerva

green albeit smaller than if I'd stayed in

AJAX vs Volendam

LTD
01.5 (Greened after first goal)

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All Ajax so far they look up for it tonight

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@Mark-Maguire i need to use the ELO more but dont exactly understand it. One thing to look into for November. Thanks for the Stats mate

Mark Maguire

@Toni-0 just looking at my stats analysis for the game and the ELO odds suggest probability of a Volendam win are 5% (Ajax 85%, Draw 10%) so from that Volendam should be at 20, Ajax at 1.18.

Predicted score from my model is 3-2 however which puts the game closer.

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@Mark-Maguire yes true im going to watch the game tonight and see what type of game is playing out. I dont trade away games at the moment only Home teams so it will go against my Strategy but that price just seemed big to me. Thanks for your reply the game is on betfair live if you wanted to watch it.