*****New Football Thread*****

Mark Maguire

As ever Saturday is about narrowing down the selections for me ..

The following are amongst those I will be looking to trade:

LTD

Brighton vs Burnley
Inter vs Udinese
Gent vs RWDM
Forest Green vs Wrexham with a bit of caution

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal (usually green up on goal - if early green up to free bet.)

Notts County vs Walsall
AZ Almaar vs Almere
PSG vs Nantes
Man Utd vs Bournemouth
Linfield vs Dungannon

02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal (usually green up on goal)

Notts County vs Walsall
AZ Alkmaar vs Almere
Gent vs RWDM
PSG vs Nantes
Rennes vs Monaco cautious staking because French football weird goals wise this season

Richard Latimer

Against the clock again.

Lay under 1.5 Bangkok Glass (Pathum)
Lay under 1.5 Union Berlin

Dan MacKinnon

This is based solely on my own experience of watching our games recently, but there is no way I can see Palace getting anything from today’s game. Liverpool are at 1.51 which is a 66% win chance (I think that’s right?). Considering our injuries, the fact this is our third game this week, and a real sense of a lack of confidence I would have had it more like 80-85%.

Even the O1.5 is at 1.25. The only approach Palace really have is to keep it tight in the first half and try to nick something in the second. If I was to trade it I would wait and see how it starts, but if there’s defensive mistakes or uncertain passing I think it’ll be Liverpool’s day.

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Carrick v Crusaders match. 0-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just this lay under 1.5 for me this evening:

That's 1-1 now

Akiva Anderson

Going for Larne to beat Glenavon tonight. 1.36

Richard Latimer

Just this lay under 1.5 for me this evening:

Akiva Anderson

SHG Perth Glory v Melbourne City. 1-1 at HT

Akiva Anderson

Been quiet on here the last few weeks. I should be back to normality next Saturday.

My daughter has been doing quiet a few shows and now is performing Christmas Carols at the Cathedral.

I've been transporting her and my Protestant daughter has been dragging me to the carol services!

Hopefully December is profitable so far?

Mark Maguire

Hmmm not the easiest of nights .. goals came too late in Switzerland and at Villa.. it happens !!!

LTD

St Gallen vs Yverdon
Celtic vs Hibs

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy

02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Aston Vill vs Man City

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For Wed though:

Lay under 1.5

2/2 and the good start to Dec continues

Mark Maguire

A couple of trades tonight:

LTD

St Gallen vs Yverdon
Celtic vs Hibs (if odds get decent)

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy

02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Aston Vill vs Man City

Mr. Emmet Moorehouse

The following are SHG candidates tonight:

Ryan

@Mark-Maguire ahahah true! They do love to miss that T out!

Mark Maguire

@Ryan I think you'll find its pronounced Lu-un ...as in their famous chant "Com on Lu-un, Com on Lu-un" its a silent T

Ryan

I'll be gutted if Luton go down, they are actually a really good team!

Richard Latimer

For Wed though:

Lay under 1.5

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow

0-2 now, nothing tomorrow

Mark Maguire

@Tony-Hastie good question - depending on the strength of feeling I have about the trade really .. I calculate the per centage chance of 01.5 and of the result based on ELO ratings.

I won't trade less than 1.2 to 1.3 based on the fact that for example on my o1.5 trades I have a SR of 90% then anything above 1.19 (the real odds of 90% probability when including the bookmakers round) is value - I will take this into account along with the probability of the 01.5 and team news, home or away favourite, league position etc. If I feel really strongly that there's an early goal I will lay under 1.5 for more liability in confidence I'll get a return .. hope that all makes sense?

Mark Maguire

Yesterday was a day for arguing that the LTD should be either not S&F or should be green up after 89 mins.. I did but if anyone left it in there sorry about the late goals.. marked as a win and loss below.. otherwise from my point of view a really pleasing day across the board..

LTD

Fiorentina vs Salernitana
Brondby vs Hvidovre
Molde vs Ham Kam but 90th minute equaliser
Man City vs Tottenham but 90th minute equaliser

01.5 split out after 70 mins if no goal

Braga vs Estoril
Molde vs Ham Kam:
Bodo vs Sarpsborg

02.5 split out after 60 mins if no goal

Nijmegen vs Ajax
Viking vs Rosenborg
Bodo vs Sarpsborg
Leverkusen vs Dortmund