*****New Football Thread*****
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@Alex-Rendell Yea I think the backtesting would be able to sort that.
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Morning guys. I'm trading FHG in the Western Sydney wanderers v Newcastle Jets kicking off now.
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@Alex-Rendell I'd narrowed it down to just 0-0 1-0 0-1 also, this gave me a 70% strikerate, once I start recording odds I'll be able to see if either would be profitable.
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@Simon-Bates interesting to see where this goes, but those scorelines are by far the most common, so dutching all 4 may not prove profitable at all - although you could look to narrow it down to just 2, or find a way of dutching several and trading out on a goal? Something that the back-testing software could tell you insantly, dont you think @Martin @Ryan @Adam ?!
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I have a HT 0-0 strategy, 1 of 4, that is performing so badly so I decided to go through all the results, 756 of them.
I checked the scores of them and recorded 619 winning games for dutching HT Scores 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1
82.42 strikerateI've decided that this strategy is better for dutching them 4 ht scorelines than what it was originally set up for.
Check out my last 55 results, 47 wins 8 losses, it's been mentioned loads by the BTC team not to throw away a strategy cos it's performing crap cos it might be performing better from a different angle as I've noticed with my ht 0-0 strategy
What I'm guna do next is start to record the odds for them 4 ht scorelines and work out an average so I can see if it profitable or not.
Edit, I've just noticed entry 713, by mistake I've not added that 1-1 scoreline, so that's another win and 1 less loss.
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20:00 Larne v St Gallen (Away Win)
Odds: 1.43
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@Martin I 100% agree there they look terrible in the middle of the park but they have muscle memory and they will get through to the knockout and go at least one round I think...
Which would see the price come in and then could see from there.
I think Liverpool would be crazy to not win the league this year.
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@Craig-Greenway Both teams with 1 0-0 in there last 50 games. Slowly putting stake in as odds improve.
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I'm trading a SHG in the Sydney v Hiroshima game.
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@Craig-Greenway nice - if only they were all that quick and easy... i was watching that one but got greedy wanting bigger odds so missed it.
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Over 0.5 in the Luton v Cardiff game is what I'm trading next.
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I'm on over 0.5 goals in the Club brugge v Aston Villa game. Should have been a goal in first half and can see second half opening up. Will be jumping on as odds improve.
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City and Real both to win the Champs league kinda looks tasty to me, both just lost both still Favs to win it.
Real have Liverpool next who well we always struggle against them, so be a huge game, that game is a huge game for Liverpool as well to see where they really are in this season but even with that said Real will get through and they are primed to go further in this so that price should shorten.
City have Feyenoord at home, they should win that and again they should go through and go through to the latter stages.
Wonder what @Martin would make with his overreactions pod?
