*****New Football Thread*****
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@Martin interesting I went back on my analysis stats yesterday and looked - Bundesliga is par or above the Strike Rate for my all my filters - whereas Bundesliga 2 is overall below par - especially on one of my original 02.5 filters (10% below SR) and my Over 1.5 (12% below)
England is ok on my filters across LTD, O2.5 and 01.5 apart from 3% below SR on one 02.5 filter. But when I split the leagues the Championship is well below as is League Two whereas League One and the Premier League are above -
I need to do a deeper dive to work out how many trades for each league and how thats affecting the average but the overall trades is based upon 1500 trades for my main filters (250 for the newer versions).
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@Mark-Maguire often find German leagues to be tough on my strategies, same with English ones!
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@Alastair-Todd some funny results in Germany this weekend for sure - for what its worth games like that one I tend to be careful with despite stats.. namely two teams within a place of each other in the league, especially as the season progresses and they are in or around relegation - mentality can be "just don't lose" so they are games I'm wary of - not saying I wouldn't trade (or being wise after the fact) but would at least manage my staking, and/or wait until I got involved
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@Mark-Maguire The wretched Bundesliga just gave me a kicking with the Koln match as well. You would have thought they could have scored at least one goal!
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Lay under 1.5:
2/3
First loss of December and it's only around a 1pt deficit on the day.
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@Alastair-Todd thanks.. to be honest its one of those leagues thats up and down for me and probably should have been more cautious on it - no stats in the game so got out without too much damage
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@Mark-Maguire Well done. The German Bundesliga 2 let me down two out of three times today!
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Another decent day just let down by Elversberg vs Nurnberg
LTD
Eupen vs Genk
Sturm Graz vs Altach green with a few mins to go
Rijeka vs Belupo green after 2nd goal01.5 Split Stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Atletico Madrid vs Almeria
Rijeka vs Belupo
Luton vs Man City02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Elversberg vs Nürnberg
Atletico Madrid vs Almeria
Rijeka vs Belupo
Spurs vs Newcastle -
Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Ok a few today:
LTD
Eupen vs Genk
Sturm Graz vs Altach
Rijeka vs Belupo01.5 Split Stake out after 70 mins if no goal
Atletico Madrid vs Almeria
Rijeka vs Belupo
Luton vs Man City02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Elversberg vs Nürnberg
Atletico Madrid vs Almeria
Rijeka vs Belupo
Spurs vs NewcastleOn overs I will generally green up on a goal, if the goal is in the first 25-30 mins green to free bet.
LTD I'll keep an eye in play... working towards set and forget but not there yet
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@Mark-Maguire outstanding work!
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Only let down by Brighton vs Burnley. A good day.
LTD
Brighton vs Burnley
Inter vs Udinese green at 3 nil
Gent vs RWDM green at 2 nil
Forest Green vs Wrexham with a bit of caution postponed01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal (usually green up on goal - if early green up to free bet.)
Notts County vs Walsall
AZ Almaar vs Almere
PSG vs Nantes
Man Utd vs Bournemouth
Linfield vs Dungannon02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal (usually green up on goal)
Notts County vs Walsall
AZ Alkmaar vs Almere
Gent vs RWDM
PSG vs Nantes
Rennes vs Monaco -
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Against the clock again.
Lay under 1.5 Bangkok Glass (Pathum)
Lay under 1.5 Union Berlin2/2
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@Tony-Hastie haha I'll put that down as teams can cope with it !
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@Mark-Maguire Bloody awful in Scotland mate, no change there though
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@Matt-Hyam Thanks mate
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@Mark-Maguire would say it's the norm.
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Quick question - how horrible is the weather in UK and NI ? Is it game affecting horrible or seasonal norm??? Genuine question for us exiles
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As ever Saturday is about narrowing down the selections for me ..
The following are amongst those I will be looking to trade:
LTD
Brighton vs Burnley
Inter vs Udinese
Gent vs RWDM
Forest Green vs Wrexham with a bit of caution01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal (usually green up on goal - if early green up to free bet.)
Notts County vs Walsall
AZ Almaar vs Almere
PSG vs Nantes
Man Utd vs Bournemouth
Linfield vs Dungannon02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal (usually green up on goal)
Notts County vs Walsall
AZ Alkmaar vs Almere
Gent vs RWDM
PSG vs Nantes
Rennes vs Monaco cautious staking because French football weird goals wise this season
