*****New Football Thread*****

[Richard Latimer]

Against the clock again.

Lay under 1.5 Bangkok Glass (Pathum)
Lay under 1.5 Union Berlin

[Dan MacKinnon]

This is based solely on my own experience of watching our games recently, but there is no way I can see Palace getting anything from today’s game. Liverpool are at 1.51 which is a 66% win chance (I think that’s right?). Considering our injuries, the fact this is our third game this week, and a real sense of a lack of confidence I would have had it more like 80-85%.

Even the O1.5 is at 1.25. The only approach Palace really have is to keep it tight in the first half and try to nick something in the second. If I was to trade it I would wait and see how it starts, but if there’s defensive mistakes or uncertain passing I think it’ll be Liverpool’s day.

[Akiva Anderson]

SHG in the Carrick v Crusaders match. 0-1 at HT

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just this lay under 1.5 for me this evening:

That's 1-1 now

[Akiva Anderson]

Going for Larne to beat Glenavon tonight. 1.36

[Richard Latimer]

Just this lay under 1.5 for me this evening:

[Akiva Anderson]

SHG Perth Glory v Melbourne City. 1-1 at HT

[Akiva Anderson]

Been quiet on here the last few weeks. I should be back to normality next Saturday.

My daughter has been doing quiet a few shows and now is performing Christmas Carols at the Cathedral.

I've been transporting her and my Protestant daughter has been dragging me to the carol services!

Hopefully December is profitable so far?

[Mark Maguire]

Hmmm not the easiest of nights .. goals came too late in Switzerland and at Villa.. it happens !!!

LTD

St Gallen vs Yverdon
Celtic vs Hibs

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy

02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Aston Vill vs Man City

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For Wed though:

Lay under 1.5

2/2 and the good start to Dec continues

[Mark Maguire]

A couple of trades tonight:

LTD

St Gallen vs Yverdon
Celtic vs Hibs (if odds get decent)

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Young Boys vs Lausanne Ouchy

02.5 Split stake green up or out after 60 mins if no goal

Sheff Utd vs Liverpool
Aston Vill vs Man City

[Mr. Emmet Moorehouse]

The following are SHG candidates tonight:

[Ryan]

@Mark-Maguire ahahah true! They do love to miss that T out!

[Mark Maguire]

@Ryan I think you'll find its pronounced Lu-un ...as in their famous chant "Com on Lu-un, Com on Lu-un" its a silent T

[Ryan]

I'll be gutted if Luton go down, they are actually a really good team!

[Richard Latimer]

For Wed though:

Lay under 1.5

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow

0-2 now, nothing tomorrow

[Mark Maguire]

@Tony-Hastie good question - depending on the strength of feeling I have about the trade really .. I calculate the per centage chance of 01.5 and of the result based on ELO ratings.

I won't trade less than 1.2 to 1.3 based on the fact that for example on my o1.5 trades I have a SR of 90% then anything above 1.19 (the real odds of 90% probability when including the bookmakers round) is value - I will take this into account along with the probability of the 01.5 and team news, home or away favourite, league position etc. If I feel really strongly that there's an early goal I will lay under 1.5 for more liability in confidence I'll get a return .. hope that all makes sense?

[Mark Maguire]

Yesterday was a day for arguing that the LTD should be either not S&F or should be green up after 89 mins.. I did but if anyone left it in there sorry about the late goals.. marked as a win and loss below.. otherwise from my point of view a really pleasing day across the board..

LTD

Fiorentina vs Salernitana
Brondby vs Hvidovre
Molde vs Ham Kam but 90th minute equaliser
Man City vs Tottenham but 90th minute equaliser

01.5 split out after 70 mins if no goal

Braga vs Estoril
Molde vs Ham Kam:
Bodo vs Sarpsborg

02.5 split out after 60 mins if no goal

Nijmegen vs Ajax
Viking vs Rosenborg
Bodo vs Sarpsborg
Leverkusen vs Dortmund

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5 Jong PSV for tomorrow