*****New Football Thread*****

Akiva Anderson

@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson what change to your trading do you think it will make?

The early evening football?

It will help spread my liability. Nothing worse than all football matches kicking off at the same time. It's why I hate the Saturday 3pm kick-offs

Ryan

@Akiva-Anderson what change to your trading do you think it will make?

Akiva Anderson

Going for another goal in the Celtic v Atletico match. 2-2 after 55 minutes

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Antwerp v Porto match. 1-0 at HT

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Celtic v Atletico Madrid match. 2-1 at HT

Akiva Anderson

Shite night for me

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Leicester v Sunderland match. 1-0 at HT

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Cambridge v Portsmouth match. 0-0 at HT

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just the one for me tonight. Lay under 1.5:

That was quick
0-2

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Inter v Salzburg match. 1-0 at HT

Richard Latimer

Just the one for me tonight. Lay under 1.5:

Akiva Anderson

I love that there is often football on early evenings 5:30pm / 6:00pm.

Martin

@Jonathan-West there was a thread recently about spreadsheet templates, not sure if that would help but here it is: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4541/does-anyone-know-of-a-good-sports-tracker-betting-apps-or-tracker-spreadsheets-to-put-my-trading-data?_=1698125756106

Chris King

Nice green on the Palermo match and just missed out on the goal in the Fiorentina match reaching my stop loss first. Up overall though 1.12pts

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For tonight:

Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6

1/1 under lays
1/1 over lays

Decent green

Chris King

Going for SHG Fiorentina v Empoli 5 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 80% on BTC stats

Chris King

Going for SHG Palermo v Spezia 7 SOT, 100% for SHG in respective home/away league matches. 75% on BTC stats

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the OB v Midtjylland match. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

For tonight:

Purple is lay over 2.5
Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 at a price of 7.0-9.6

? Offline

@Martin r anybody else that can help. I'm keen to start using the football ratings data in a more sophisticated way than I currently am. up to now I have used it to verify my hunches or further filter set and forget strategies.

I'm aware that each rating gives weight to a certain outcome but I would really like to implement them in a more rounded / thorough way by combining them, perhaps in a spreadsheet that creates a predictive picture that helps highlight value / edges.

As an example, I have added columns to the data and have devised rudimentary calculations to help suggest each teams' goals based on their home/away offense/defense scores. I also figure out team's implied odds purely based on their elo ratings.

I guess what I'm asking is, can you point me to any decent online templates or know of any good resources that help combine all the raw data you provide?